Football · Poland III Liga · 06/09, 12:00

Prediction: Widzew Lodz II vs Wisla Plock II

Team pages: Widzew Lodz II · Wisla Plock II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.55Total

Widzew Lodz II1.99

Wisla Plock II1.57

1X2

47% 23% 30%

Widzew Lodz II Draw Wisla Plock II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Widzew Lodz II 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLDWWW

Wisla Plock II 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWWWDDLW

Head-to-head

Widzew Lodz II 1–1 Wisla Plock II (2 last)

Wisla Plock II0-1Widzew Lodz II
Widzew Lodz II1-2Wisla Plock II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Widzew Lodz II 1569 · Wisla Plock II 1524

	Widzew Lodz II	Draw	Wisla Plock II
Our model	47%	23%	30%
Market	47%	23%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Widzew Lodz II (rating 1569 vs 1524).
High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Widzew Lodz II	Wisla Plock II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1	2.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.1	3.4 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.90

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:26 +4’	1.91	3.90	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Widzew Lodz II 1–0–1 Wisla Plock II

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
30/04/26 Poland III Liga	Wisla Plock II	0-1 HT 0-0	Widzew Lodz II
12/10/25 Poland III Liga	Widzew Lodz II	1-2 HT 0-1	Wisla Plock II

Standings · Poland III Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	6	6	0	0	11	1	18
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	6	4	2	0	11	4	14
3	Wislanie Jaskowice	6	4	1	1	9	4	13
4	Czarni Polaniec	6	4	0	2	9	8	12
5	Wisla Krakow II	6	3	2	1	9	6	11
6	JKS Jaroslaw	6	3	1	2	12	8	10
7	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	6	2	2	2	5	5	8
8	Wieczysta Krakow II	6	2	1	3	8	9	7
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	6	2	1	3	7	8	7
10	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	7	1	4	2	6	7	7
11	Wisloka Debica	6	2	1	3	7	9	7
12	Naprzod Jedrzejow	6	2	1	3	9	13	7
13	Hetman Zamosc	6	1	3	2	9	9	6
14	Moravia Morawica	6	2	0	4	6	12	6
15	Star Starachowice	7	1	3	3	5	11	6
16	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	6	1	2	3	8	13	5
17	Korona Kielce II	6	1	1	4	16	17	4
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	6	1	1	4	6	9	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Widzew Lodz II	Wisla Plock II
Olimpia Zambrow	4-3 W	3-4 L
Polonia Lidzbark	4-1 W	1-1 D
Olimpia Elblag	2-0 W	2-1 W
MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki	0-0 D	3-2 W
Mlawianka Mlawa	0-2 L	5-3 W
GKS Belchatow	3-1 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Widzew Lodz II

WLWWWLDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Olimpia Zambrow Poland III Liga	2-1	4-3	5	3	W
23/08	Polonia Lidzbark Poland III Liga	3-0	4-1	3	6	W
19/08	Olimpia Elblag Poland III Liga	0-0	2-0	7	6	W
15/08	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
08/08	Zabkovia Zabki Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
02/08	CK Troszyn Poland III Liga	3-0	5-1	6	6	W
30/05	Zabkovia Zabki Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	13	8	W
21/05	Legia Warsaw II Poland III Liga	2-0	3-0	7	4	W
17/05	Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
13/05	GKS Belchatow Poland III Liga	2-1	3-1	4	3	W

Wisla Plock II

DDWWWWDDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga	3-0	5-3	5	7	W
23/08	Olimpia Zambrow Poland III Liga	1-2	3-4	7	3	L
19/08	LKS Lomza Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	8	10	D
15/08	Polonia Lidzbark Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
08/08	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
31/07	Olimpia Elblag Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	8	8	W
30/05	GKS Belchatow Poland III Liga	1-0	4-1	6	2	W
23/05	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	2-0	3-2	5	3	W
17/05	Olimpia Elblag Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
13/05	Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	11	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Widzew Lodz II vs Wisla Plock II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Widzew Lodz II win (47%). Probabilities: Widzew Lodz II 47%, draw 23%, Wisla Plock II 30%.

How many goals are expected in Widzew Lodz II vs Wisla Plock II?

The model expects 3.55 goals (Widzew Lodz II 1.99 · Wisla Plock II 1.57), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Widzew Lodz II vs Wisla Plock II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.