Football · Poland III Liga · 12/09, 12:00
Prediction: Korona Kielce II vs Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
Team pages: Korona Kielce II · Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.51Total
Korona Kielce II1.94
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna1.58
1X2
Korona Kielce II
Draw
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Korona Kielce II
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Korona Kielce II
1–1
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
(2 last)
- Korona Kielce II5-0Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
- Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna3-1Korona Kielce II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Korona Kielce II 1457 · Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 1500
| Korona Kielce II | Draw | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 24% | 31% |
| Market | 46% | 23% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna (rating 1457 vs 1500).
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Korona Kielce II | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 3 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.5 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.5 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Korona Kielce II 1–0–1 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/25 Poland III Liga | Korona Kielce II | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna |
| 01/08/25 Poland III Liga | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Korona Kielce II |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 21 |
| 2 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Czarni Polaniec | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | JKS Jaroslaw | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 13 |
| 5 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Wisla Krakow II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Wisloka Debica | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Hetman Zamosc | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| 10 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 8 |
| 12 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 8 |
| 13 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
| 16 | Moravia Morawica | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 17 | Korona Kielce II | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 4 |
| 18 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Korona Kielce II | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna |
|---|---|---|
| JKS Jaroslaw | 2-6 L | 2-2 D |
| KSZO Ostrowiec | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Wislanie Jaskowice | 4-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Korona Kielce II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga |
1-3 | 2-6 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 19/08 | Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 14/08 | KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga |
0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga |
3-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 22/05 | Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | Avia Swidnik Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-5 | 4 | 8 | L |
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Star Starachowice Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 28/08 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 23/08 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 19/08 | Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 14/08 | Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Swidniczanka Swidnik Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Korona Kielce II vs Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Korona Kielce II win (46%). Probabilities: Korona Kielce II 46%, draw 24%, Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 31%.
How many goals are expected in Korona Kielce II vs Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna?
The model expects 3.51 goals (Korona Kielce II 1.94 · Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 1.58), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Korona Kielce II vs Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.