Football · Poland III Liga · 12/09, 15:00

Prediction: CK Troszyn vs LKS Lomza

Team pages: CK Troszyn · LKS Lomza

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.4Total

CK Troszyn1.97

LKS Lomza1.43

1X2

49% 24% 27%

CK Troszyn Draw LKS Lomza

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

CK Troszyn 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLDDW

LKS Lomza 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CK Troszyn 1–1 LKS Lomza (2 last)

CK Troszyn0-2LKS Lomza
LKS Lomza2-3CK Troszyn

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CK Troszyn	LKS Lomza
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.2	1.5 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.4	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.3	2.8 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.81

Under 31.91

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:30

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.14 → 2.14	Pinn 2.14
X	3.57 → 3.57	Pinn 3.57
2	2.65 → 2.65	Pinn 2.65

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:13 +137’	2.14	3.57	2.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CK Troszyn 1–0–1 LKS Lomza

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Poland III Liga	CK Troszyn	0-2 HT 0-0	LKS Lomza
08/11/25 Poland III Liga	LKS Lomza	2-3 HT 0-2	CK Troszyn

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	7	7	0	0	13	1	21
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	7	4	3	0	13	6	15
3	Czarni Polaniec	7	5	0	2	12	8	15
4	JKS Jaroslaw	7	4	1	2	18	10	13
5	Wislanie Jaskowice	7	4	1	2	10	6	13
6	Wisla Krakow II	7	3	2	2	9	8	11
7	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	8	3	2	3	7	7	11
8	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	7	3	1	3	9	8	10
9	Wisloka Debica	7	3	1	3	8	9	10
10	Hetman Zamosc	7	2	3	2	11	10	9
11	Naprzod Jedrzejow	7	2	2	3	11	15	8
12	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	7	2	2	3	10	14	8
13	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	7	1	4	2	6	7	7
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	8	2	1	5	9	13	7
15	Star Starachowice	7	1	3	3	5	11	6
16	Moravia Morawica	7	2	0	5	7	14	6
17	Korona Kielce II	7	1	1	5	18	23	4
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	7	1	1	5	6	12	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CK Troszyn	LKS Lomza
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki	2-0 W	2-5 L
KTS Weszlo	3-3 D	0-1 L
Pelikan Lowicz	1-1 D	2-3 L
Jagiellonia Bialystok II	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CK Troszyn (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CK Troszyn

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
29/08	KTS Weszlo Poland III Liga	2-3	3-3	7	4	D
23/08	Pelikan Lowicz Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
19/08	Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga	0-1	1-4	9	2	L
14/08	Wigry Suwalki Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
08/08	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	1-4	1-4	1	1	L
02/08	Widzew Lodz II Poland III Liga	0-3	1-5	4	6	L
30/05	GKS Wikielec Poland III Liga	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
23/05	LKS Lomza Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
17/05	Jagiellonia Bialystok II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

LKS Lomza

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Jagiellonia Bialystok II Poland III Liga	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
30/08	LKS Lodz II Poland III Liga	3-1	3-4	6	3	L
22/08	Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
19/08	Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	5	10	D
14/08	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	0-4	2-5	4	1	L
08/08	KTS Weszlo Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
01/08	Pelikan Lowicz Poland III Liga	1-1	2-3	6	4	L
03/06	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-1	2-3	9	2	L
30/05	Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
23/05	CK Troszyn Poland III Liga	0-0	2-0	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CK Troszyn vs LKS Lomza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CK Troszyn win (49%). Probabilities: CK Troszyn 49%, draw 24%, LKS Lomza 27%.

How many goals are expected in CK Troszyn vs LKS Lomza?

The model expects 3.4 goals (CK Troszyn 1.97 · LKS Lomza 1.43), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CK Troszyn vs LKS Lomza?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.