Football · Poland III Liga · 12/09, 12:00

Prediction: Wisla Krakow II vs KSZO Ostrowiec

Team pages: Wisla Krakow II · KSZO Ostrowiec

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

Wisla Krakow II1.29

KSZO Ostrowiec1.69

1X2

29% 25% 46%

Wisla Krakow II Draw KSZO Ostrowiec

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Wisla Krakow II 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLDWDL

KSZO Ostrowiec 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWDWWD

Head-to-head

Wisla Krakow II 0–2–2 KSZO Ostrowiec (4 last)

KSZO Ostrowiec4-3Wisla Krakow II
Wisla Krakow II0-0KSZO Ostrowiec
KSZO Ostrowiec2-1Wisla Krakow II
Wisla Krakow II1-1KSZO Ostrowiec

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wisla Krakow II 1528 · KSZO Ostrowiec 1588

	Wisla Krakow II	Draw	KSZO Ostrowiec
Our model	28%	26%	46%
Market	29%	24%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KSZO Ostrowiec (rating 1528 vs 1588).
H2H favours KSZO Ostrowiec: 2-2-0.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wisla Krakow II	KSZO Ostrowiec
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	1.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.7	2.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.70

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.98

2 (-0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:08 +7’	3.10	3.70	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wisla Krakow II 0–2–2 KSZO Ostrowiec

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Poland III Liga	KSZO Ostrowiec	4-3 HT 2-2	Wisla Krakow II
18/10/25 Poland III Liga	Wisla Krakow II	0-0 HT 0-0	KSZO Ostrowiec
22/11/24 Poland III Liga	KSZO Ostrowiec	2-1 HT 2-0	Wisla Krakow II
03/08/24 Poland III Liga	Wisla Krakow II	1-1 HT 1-1	KSZO Ostrowiec

Standings · Poland III Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	7	7	0	0	13	1	21
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	7	4	3	0	13	6	15
3	Czarni Polaniec	7	5	0	2	12	8	15
4	JKS Jaroslaw	7	4	1	2	18	10	13
5	Wislanie Jaskowice	7	4	1	2	10	6	13
6	Wisla Krakow II	7	3	2	2	9	8	11
7	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	7	3	1	3	9	8	10
8	Wisloka Debica	7	3	1	3	8	9	10
9	Hetman Zamosc	7	2	3	2	11	10	9
10	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	7	2	2	3	5	6	8
11	Naprzod Jedrzejow	7	2	2	3	11	15	8
12	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	7	2	2	3	10	14	8
13	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	7	1	4	2	6	7	7
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	7	2	1	4	8	11	7
15	Star Starachowice	7	1	3	3	5	11	6
16	Moravia Morawica	7	2	0	5	7	14	6
17	Korona Kielce II	7	1	1	5	18	23	4
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	7	1	1	5	6	12	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wisla Krakow II	KSZO Ostrowiec
Naprzod Jedrzejow	0-0 D	2-2 D
Moravia Morawica	1-0 W	4-0 W
Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	1-1 D	1-0 W
Wislanie Jaskowice	1-2 L	2-2 D
Korona Kielce II	2-1 W	3-2 W
Star Starachowice	4-2 W	0-0 D
Podlasie Biala Podlaska	3-2 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: KSZO Ostrowiec (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wisla Krakow II

WWWWWLDWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
30/08	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
22/08	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
19/08	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	1-2	1-2	12	9	L
08/08	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
01/08	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	1-1	4-2	9	2	W
30/05	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
23/05	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	1-0	3-1	11	4	W
16/05	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	1	5	W

KSZO Ostrowiec

WWWWDWDWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
30/08	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	1-0	4-0	7	6	W
23/08	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
19/08	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	1-0	2-2	2	7	D
14/08	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	3-0	3-2	5	5	W
09/08	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
02/08	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
03/06	KTS-K Luzino Poland III Liga	0-1	2-1	8	3	W
30/05	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Poland III Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
23/05	Cracovia Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	0	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wisla Krakow II vs KSZO Ostrowiec?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KSZO Ostrowiec win (46%). Probabilities: Wisla Krakow II 29%, draw 25%, KSZO Ostrowiec 46%.

How many goals are expected in Wisla Krakow II vs KSZO Ostrowiec?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Wisla Krakow II 1.29 · KSZO Ostrowiec 1.69), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Wisla Krakow II vs KSZO Ostrowiec?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.