Football · Poland III Liga · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: Mlawianka Mlawa vs CK Troszyn

Team pages: Mlawianka Mlawa · CK Troszyn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.05Total

Mlawianka Mlawa2.23

CK Troszyn1.82

1X2

47% 22% 31%

Mlawianka Mlawa Draw CK Troszyn

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Mlawianka Mlawa 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLDLLL

CK Troszyn 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLDDWD

Head-to-head

Mlawianka Mlawa 0–2–0 CK Troszyn (2 last)

Mlawianka Mlawa2-2CK Troszyn
CK Troszyn2-2Mlawianka Mlawa

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mlawianka Mlawa	CK Troszyn
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.7	1.1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	0.5 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.1	2.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.79

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:04

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.02 → 2.02	Pinn 2.02
X	3.54 → 3.54	Pinn 3.54
2	2.88 → 2.88	Pinn 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:12 +52’	2.02	3.54	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mlawianka Mlawa 0–2–0 CK Troszyn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Poland III Liga	Mlawianka Mlawa	2-2 HT 1-1	CK Troszyn
27/08/25 Poland III Liga	CK Troszyn	2-2 HT 1-1	Mlawianka Mlawa

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	8	7	1	0	14	2	22
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	8	5	3	0	14	6	18
3	Czarni Polaniec	8	6	0	2	14	9	18
4	Wislanie Jaskowice	8	5	1	2	13	7	16
5	JKS Jaroslaw	8	4	1	3	19	13	13
6	Wisloka Debica	8	4	1	3	11	11	13
7	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	8	3	2	3	10	9	11
8	Wisla Krakow II	8	3	2	3	9	9	11
9	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	8	3	2	3	7	7	11
10	Naprzod Jedrzejow	8	3	2	3	15	17	11
11	Hetman Zamosc	8	2	3	3	13	14	9
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	8	1	5	2	8	9	8
13	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	8	2	2	4	11	16	8
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	8	2	1	5	9	13	7
15	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	8	2	1	5	8	13	7
16	Star Starachowice	8	1	3	4	7	14	6
17	Moravia Morawica	8	2	0	6	8	16	6
18	Korona Kielce II	8	1	2	5	20	25	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mlawianka Mlawa	CK Troszyn
LKS Lomza	0-0 D	1-1 D
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki	2-3 L	2-0 W
KTS Weszlo	1-5 L	3-3 D
Pelikan Lowicz	0-1 L	1-1 D
Warta Sieradz	2-1 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CK Troszyn (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mlawianka Mlawa

WLWLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Jagiellonia Bialystok II Poland III Liga	2-2	4-7	1	5	L
06/09	LKS Lodz II Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
29/08	Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga	0-3	3-5	8	7	L
22/08	LKS Lomza Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
19/08	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	0-1	2-3	14	6	L
14/08	KTS Weszlo Poland III Liga	0-2	1-5	5	5	L
07/08	Pelikan Lowicz Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
01/08	Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
30/05	LKS Lomza Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
24/05	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	1-0	3-1	3	6	W

CK Troszyn

LLLLLLDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	LKS Lomza Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
29/08	KTS Weszlo Poland III Liga	2-3	3-3	7	4	D
23/08	Pelikan Lowicz Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
19/08	Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga	0-1	1-4	9	2	L
14/08	Wigry Suwalki Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
08/08	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	1-4	1-4	1	1	L
02/08	Widzew Lodz II Poland III Liga	0-3	1-5	4	6	L
30/05	GKS Wikielec Poland III Liga	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
23/05	LKS Lomza Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mlawianka Mlawa vs CK Troszyn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mlawianka Mlawa win (47%). Probabilities: Mlawianka Mlawa 47%, draw 22%, CK Troszyn 31%.

How many goals are expected in Mlawianka Mlawa vs CK Troszyn?

The model expects 4.05 goals (Mlawianka Mlawa 2.23 · CK Troszyn 1.82), with a 58% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Mlawianka Mlawa vs CK Troszyn?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.