Football · Poland III Liga · 26/09, 17:00

Prediction: Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

Team pages: Karkonosze Jelenia Gora · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.48Total

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora1.42

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj1.06

1X2

45% 27% 28%

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Draw LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 0–3–3 LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj (6 last)

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora0-1LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj1-0Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora0-0LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj0-0Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora1-1LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj5-1Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 1510 · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1513

	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	Draw	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Our model	44%	29%	27%
Market	46%	24%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.7	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.6	1.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.70

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:58 +1’	1.95	3.70	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 0–3–3 LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Poland III Liga	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	0-1 HT 0-0	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
18/10/25 Poland III Liga	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	1-0 HT 0-0	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
17/05/25 Poland III Liga	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	0-0 HT 0-0	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
19/10/24 Poland III Liga	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	0-0 HT 0-0	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
04/05/24 Poland III Liga	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	1-1 HT 0-0	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
07/10/23 Poland III Liga	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	5-1 HT 3-1	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	9	7	2	0	14	2	23
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	9	5	4	0	14	6	19
3	Czarni Polaniec	9	6	0	3	16	14	18
4	Wislanie Jaskowice	9	5	2	2	14	8	17
5	JKS Jaroslaw	9	5	1	3	24	15	16
6	Wisloka Debica	9	5	1	3	12	11	16
7	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	9	4	2	3	12	9	14
8	Naprzod Jedrzejow	9	4	2	3	20	19	14
9	Wisla Krakow II	9	3	3	3	12	12	12
10	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	9	3	2	4	7	9	11
11	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	9	3	2	4	13	17	11
12	Hetman Zamosc	9	2	4	3	16	17	10
13	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	9	1	6	2	9	10	9
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	9	2	2	5	9	13	8
15	Star Starachowice	9	1	4	4	7	14	7
16	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	9	2	1	6	10	18	7
17	Moravia Morawica	9	2	0	7	9	18	6
18	Korona Kielce II	9	1	2	6	20	26	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Stal Brzeg	0-1 L	1-1 D
Zaglebie Lubin II	0-1 L	3-2 W
Zaglebie Sosnowiec	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
13/09	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga	2-1	4-2	10	2	W
05/09	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
29/08	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
23/08	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-2	1-2	7	1	L
19/08	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	3-0	3-0	5	3	W
14/08	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
08/08	ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
01/08	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
30/05	Gornik Zabrze II Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	1-0	4-1	2	6	W
12/09	Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga	0-3	0-5	10	2	L
05/09	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	2-0	3-0	1	8	W
29/08	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	4	9	D
22/08	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/08	Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
15/08	Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
09/08	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
31/07	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
30/05	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	3-1	3-2	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Karkonosze Jelenia Gora win (45%). Probabilities: Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 45%, draw 27%, LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 28%.

How many goals are expected in Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 1.42 · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1.06), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.