Football · Poland III Liga · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: Olimpia Elblag vs Mlawianka Mlawa

Team pages: Olimpia Elblag · Mlawianka Mlawa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

Olimpia Elblag2.16

Mlawianka Mlawa1.63

1X2

49% 22% 28%

Olimpia Elblag Draw Mlawianka Mlawa

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Olimpia Elblag 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Mlawianka Mlawa 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Olimpia Elblag 0–1–1 Mlawianka Mlawa (2 last)

Olimpia Elblag0-2Mlawianka Mlawa
Mlawianka Mlawa1-1Olimpia Elblag

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Olimpia Elblag	Mlawianka Mlawa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.8	2 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5	2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.83

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:04

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.01 → 2.01	Pinn 2.01
X	3.49 → 3.49	Pinn 3.49
2	2.93 → 2.93	Pinn 2.93

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:12 +52’	2.01	3.49	2.93

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Olimpia Elblag 0–1–1 Mlawianka Mlawa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Poland III Liga	Olimpia Elblag	0-2 HT 0-1	Mlawianka Mlawa
04/10/25 Poland III Liga	Mlawianka Mlawa	1-1 HT 0-1	Olimpia Elblag

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	11	8	3	0	18	5	27
2	Wisloka Debica	11	7	1	3	16	13	22
3	Wislanie Jaskowice	12	6	2	4	19	12	20
4	KSZO Ostrowiec	11	5	5	1	16	9	20
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	11	6	2	3	27	21	20
6	Czarni Polaniec	11	6	2	3	18	16	20
7	JKS Jaroslaw	11	5	2	4	27	20	17
8	Hetman Zamosc	11	3	5	3	20	20	14
9	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	11	4	2	5	17	21	14
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	12	4	2	6	15	19	14
11	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	11	2	7	2	12	12	13
12	Wisla Krakow II	11	3	4	4	13	16	13
13	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	11	3	3	5	10	13	12
14	Korona Kielce II	11	3	2	6	23	27	11
15	Star Starachowice	11	2	5	4	13	17	11
16	Wieczysta Krakow II	11	3	2	6	10	14	11
17	Moravia Morawica	11	2	2	7	13	22	8
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	11	2	1	8	11	21	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Olimpia Elblag	Mlawianka Mlawa
LKS Lomza	2-0 W	0-0 D
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki	1-2 L	2-3 L
KTS Weszlo	1-2 L	1-5 L
Pelikan Lowicz	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Olimpia Elblag (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Olimpia Elblag

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	LKS Lomza Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	11	1	W
26/09	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
19/09	KTS Weszlo Poland III Liga	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
12/09	Pelikan Lowicz Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
04/09	Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga	1-2	1-4	1	2	L
29/08	Wigry Suwalki Poland III Liga	1-0	1-3	7	3	L
22/08	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	3	3	D
19/08	Widzew Lodz II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	5	6	L
15/08	Olimpia Zambrow Poland III Liga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
07/08	Polonia Lidzbark Poland III Liga	2-1	4-2	5	4	W

Mlawianka Mlawa

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	1-1	2-4	–	–	L
25/09	Zabkovia Zabki Poland III Liga	3-0	4-3	8	5	W
19/09	CK Troszyn Poland III Liga	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
12/09	Jagiellonia Bialystok II Poland III Liga	2-2	4-7	1	5	L
06/09	LKS Lodz II Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
29/08	Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga	0-3	3-5	8	7	L
22/08	LKS Lomza Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
19/08	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	0-1	2-3	14	6	L
14/08	KTS Weszlo Poland III Liga	0-2	1-5	5	5	L
07/08	Pelikan Lowicz Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Olimpia Elblag vs Mlawianka Mlawa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Olimpia Elblag win (49%). Probabilities: Olimpia Elblag 49%, draw 22%, Mlawianka Mlawa 28%.

How many goals are expected in Olimpia Elblag vs Mlawianka Mlawa?

The model expects 3.79 goals (Olimpia Elblag 2.16 · Mlawianka Mlawa 1.63), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Olimpia Elblag vs Mlawianka Mlawa?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.