Football · Poland III Liga · 24/10, 14:00
Prediction: Olimpia Zambrow vs Mlawianka Mlawa
Team pages: Olimpia Zambrow · Mlawianka Mlawa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.03Total
Olimpia Zambrow2.4
Mlawianka Mlawa1.63
1X2
Olimpia Zambrow
Draw
Mlawianka Mlawa
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Olimpia Zambrow
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Mlawianka Mlawa
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Olimpia Zambrow
2–2–0
Mlawianka Mlawa
(4 last)
- Mlawianka Mlawa0-1Olimpia Zambrow
- Olimpia Zambrow1-1Mlawianka Mlawa
- Mlawianka Mlawa1-1Olimpia Zambrow
- Olimpia Zambrow3-2Mlawianka Mlawa
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpia Zambrow (rating 1527 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Olimpia Zambrow: 2-2-0.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Olimpia Zambrow | Mlawianka Mlawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2.1 | 2.3 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.9 | 2.1 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 5.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Olimpia Zambrow 2–2–0 Mlawianka Mlawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/24 Poland III Liga | Mlawianka Mlawa | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Olimpia Zambrow |
| 27/08/23 Poland III Liga | Olimpia Zambrow | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Mlawianka Mlawa |
| 13/05/23 Poland III Liga | Mlawianka Mlawa | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Olimpia Zambrow |
| 08/10/22 Poland III Liga | Olimpia Zambrow | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Mlawianka Mlawa |
Standings · Poland III Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 6 | 31 |
| 2 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 25 | 23 |
| 5 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 21 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 21 |
| 7 | Hetman Zamosc | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 20 |
| 8 | JKS Jaroslaw | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 17 |
| 9 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 17 |
| 10 | Star Starachowice | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 17 |
| 11 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 16 |
| 12 | Wisla Krakow II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 16 |
| 13 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 15 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce II | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 31 | 14 |
| 15 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 14 |
| 16 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 13 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 8 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Olimpia Zambrow | Mlawianka Mlawa |
|---|---|---|
| LKS Lomza | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 3-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Wisla Plock II | 4-3 W | 3-5 L |
| Polonia Lidzbark | 3-2 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Olimpia Zambrow (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olimpia Zambrow
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | LKS Lomza Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 11/10 | Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | KTS Weszlo Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 26/09 | Pelikan Lowicz Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Wigry Suwalki Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Poland III Liga |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Widzew Lodz II Poland III Liga |
1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga |
2-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/08 | Polonia Lidzbark Poland III Liga |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Mlawianka Mlawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Polonia Lidzbark Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 10/10 | Olimpia Elblag Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 25/09 | Zabkovia Zabki Poland III Liga |
3-0 | 4-3 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | CK Troszyn Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Jagiellonia Bialystok II Poland III Liga |
2-2 | 4-7 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | LKS Lodz II Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga |
0-3 | 3-5 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | LKS Lomza Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 19/08 | Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 2-3 | 14 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olimpia Zambrow vs Mlawianka Mlawa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Olimpia Zambrow win (54%). Probabilities: Olimpia Zambrow 54%, draw 21%, Mlawianka Mlawa 25%.
How many goals are expected in Olimpia Zambrow vs Mlawianka Mlawa?
The model expects 4.03 goals (Olimpia Zambrow 2.4 · Mlawianka Mlawa 1.63), with a 57% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Olimpia Zambrow vs Mlawianka Mlawa?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.