Football · Poland III Liga · 31/10, 19:08

Prediction: Wisloka Debica vs KSZO Ostrowiec

Team pages: Wisloka Debica · KSZO Ostrowiec

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

Wisloka Debica1.02

KSZO Ostrowiec1.55

1X2

24% 27% 49%

Wisloka Debica Draw KSZO Ostrowiec

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Wisloka Debica 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWDWL

KSZO Ostrowiec 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWDLDWWW

Head-to-head

Wisloka Debica 0–2–4 KSZO Ostrowiec (6 last)

KSZO Ostrowiec4-1Wisloka Debica
KSZO Ostrowiec0-0Wisloka Debica
Wisloka Debica0-1KSZO Ostrowiec
KSZO Ostrowiec1-1Wisloka Debica
Wisloka Debica0-1KSZO Ostrowiec
KSZO Ostrowiec1-0Wisloka Debica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wisloka Debica 1524 · KSZO Ostrowiec 1572

	Wisloka Debica	Draw	KSZO Ostrowiec
Our model	24%	28%	48%
Market	24%	26%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KSZO Ostrowiec (rating 1524 vs 1572).
H2H favours KSZO Ostrowiec: 4-2-0.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wisloka Debica	KSZO Ostrowiec
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.1	2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5	3 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	4.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.70

X3.40

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 08:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 3.70▲	Bet365 3.70
X	3.25 → 3.40▲	Pinn 3.47 ★
2	2.60 → 1.83▼	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:47 +3’	2.38	3.25	2.60
15:34 +20’	2.80▲	3.25	2.20▼
08:27 +12’	3.70▲	3.40▲	1.83▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:23 +76’	3.81	3.57	1.74
16:51 +16’	3.59▼	3.47▼	1.81▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wisloka Debica 0–2–4 KSZO Ostrowiec

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/01/26 Europe Friendlies	KSZO Ostrowiec	4-1 HT 3-0	Wisloka Debica
29/11/25 Poland III Liga	KSZO Ostrowiec	0-0 HT 0-0	Wisloka Debica
09/08/25 Poland III Liga	Wisloka Debica	0-1 HT 0-0	KSZO Ostrowiec
31/05/25 Poland III Liga	KSZO Ostrowiec	1-1 HT 0-0	Wisloka Debica
08/11/24 Poland III Liga	Wisloka Debica	0-1 HT 0-0	KSZO Ostrowiec
20/07/24 Europe Friendlies	KSZO Ostrowiec	1-0 HT 1-0	Wisloka Debica

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	14	10	4	0	22	6	34
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	14	8	5	1	26	11	29
3	Wisloka Debica	14	8	2	4	21	16	26
4	Wislanie Jaskowice	15	7	3	5	23	16	24
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	14	7	3	4	30	27	24
6	Czarni Polaniec	14	7	3	4	20	18	24
7	Hetman Zamosc	14	6	5	3	26	22	23
8	Wisla Krakow II	15	6	4	5	20	20	22
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	14	6	2	6	22	21	20
10	Star Starachowice	15	5	5	5	24	24	20
11	JKS Jaroslaw	14	5	2	7	29	26	17
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	14	3	7	4	14	15	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	15	4	4	7	15	19	16
14	Korona Kielce II	15	4	2	9	29	35	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	14	4	2	8	20	32	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	15	3	4	8	11	24	13
17	Moravia Morawica	15	3	3	9	19	26	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	15	3	2	10	17	30	11

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wisloka Debica	KSZO Ostrowiec
Wisla Krakow II	1-3 L	1-0 W
Naprzod Jedrzejow	4-0 W	2-2 D
Moravia Morawica	0-0 D	4-0 W
Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: KSZO Ostrowiec (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wisloka Debica

LLWWWWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-2	1-3	11	5	L
17/10	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	4-0	4-0	7	2	W
10/10	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
02/10	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
25/09	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
19/09	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
13/09	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	1-1	3-2	2	2	W
06/09	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
29/08	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-3	–	–	L

KSZO Ostrowiec

WWDWDLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
17/10	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
10/10	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	3-0	5-0	1	3	W
03/10	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	0-0	1-2	15	3	L
19/09	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	7	6	W
05/09	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
30/08	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	1-0	4-0	7	6	W
23/08	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wisloka Debica vs KSZO Ostrowiec?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KSZO Ostrowiec win (49%). Probabilities: Wisloka Debica 24%, draw 27%, KSZO Ostrowiec 49%.

How many goals are expected in Wisloka Debica vs KSZO Ostrowiec?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Wisloka Debica 1.02 · KSZO Ostrowiec 1.55), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Wisloka Debica vs KSZO Ostrowiec?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.