Football · Poland III Liga · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: Pelikan Lowicz vs Wisla Plock II

Team pages: Pelikan Lowicz · Wisla Plock II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

Pelikan Lowicz1.78

Wisla Plock II1.52

1X2

43% 25% 32%

Pelikan Lowicz Draw Wisla Plock II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Pelikan Lowicz 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLWWDWLD

Wisla Plock II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDLWLWLD

Head-to-head

Pelikan Lowicz 0–1–1 Wisla Plock II (2 last)

Pelikan Lowicz1-1Wisla Plock II
Wisla Plock II1-0Pelikan Lowicz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pelikan Lowicz 1518 · Wisla Plock II 1494

	Pelikan Lowicz	Draw	Wisla Plock II
Our model	43%	25%	32%
Market	43%	25%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pelikan Lowicz	Wisla Plock II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.4	2.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.9	2.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.60

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 3.03 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
04:26 +4’	2.10	3.60	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:13 +77’	1.99	3.50	3.03

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pelikan Lowicz 0–1–1 Wisla Plock II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/05/25 Poland III Liga	Pelikan Lowicz	1-1 HT 1-0	Wisla Plock II
03/11/24 Poland III Liga	Wisla Plock II	1-0 HT 0-0	Pelikan Lowicz

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	14	10	4	0	22	6	34
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	14	8	5	1	26	11	29
3	Wisloka Debica	14	8	2	4	21	16	26
4	Wislanie Jaskowice	15	7	3	5	23	16	24
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	14	7	3	4	30	27	24
6	Czarni Polaniec	14	7	3	4	20	18	24
7	Hetman Zamosc	14	6	5	3	26	22	23
8	Wisla Krakow II	15	6	4	5	20	20	22
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	14	6	2	6	22	21	20
10	Star Starachowice	15	5	5	5	24	24	20
11	JKS Jaroslaw	14	5	2	7	29	26	17
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	14	3	7	4	14	15	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	15	4	4	7	15	19	16
14	Korona Kielce II	15	4	2	9	29	35	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	14	4	2	8	20	32	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	15	3	4	8	11	24	13
17	Moravia Morawica	15	3	3	9	19	26	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	15	3	2	10	17	30	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pelikan Lowicz	Wisla Plock II
Warta Sieradz	2-2 D	1-2 L
Wigry Suwalki	1-4 L	0-1 L
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	4-1 W	2-3 L
Widzew Lodz II	1-1 D	2-0 W
Olimpia Zambrow	3-1 W	3-4 L
Zabkovia Zabki	1-2 L	2-2 D
CK Troszyn	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Wisla Plock II (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pelikan Lowicz

DLWLWWDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
17/10	Wigry Suwalki Poland III Liga	1-1	1-4	2	5	L
10/10	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	2-1	4-1	4	4	W
03/10	Widzew Lodz II Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	6	7	D
26/09	Olimpia Zambrow Poland III Liga	1-0	3-1	2	7	W
19/09	Polonia Lidzbark Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
12/09	Olimpia Elblag Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	9	3	L
04/09	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	1-0	4-1	4	5	W
29/08	Zabkovia Zabki Poland III Liga	1-0	1-2	7	7	L
23/08	CK Troszyn Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	6	4	D

Wisla Plock II

LWWDLWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Zabkovia Zabki Poland III Liga	2-2	2-2	5	7	D
17/10	Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga	1-1	1-2	4	6	L
10/10	CK Troszyn Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	3	6	W
03/10	Wigry Suwalki Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	8	4	L
25/09	Jagiellonia Bialystok II Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
19/09	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	1-1	2-3	4	5	L
12/09	LKS Lodz II Poland III Liga	1-2	2-2	2	7	D
06/09	Widzew Lodz II Poland III Liga	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
29/08	Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga	3-0	5-3	5	7	W
23/08	Olimpia Zambrow Poland III Liga	1-2	3-4	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pelikan Lowicz vs Wisla Plock II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pelikan Lowicz win (43%). Probabilities: Pelikan Lowicz 43%, draw 25%, Wisla Plock II 32%.

How many goals are expected in Pelikan Lowicz vs Wisla Plock II?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Pelikan Lowicz 1.78 · Wisla Plock II 1.52), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Pelikan Lowicz vs Wisla Plock II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.