Football · Poland III Liga · 20/09, 16:00

Prediction: Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Wislanie Jaskowice

Team pages: Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna · Wislanie Jaskowice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna1.21

Wislanie Jaskowice1.46

1X2

31% 26% 43%

Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Draw Wislanie Jaskowice

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLLDWDDD

Wislanie Jaskowice 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWWDWLLW

Head-to-head

Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 1–1–0 Wislanie Jaskowice (2 last)

Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna2-0Wislanie Jaskowice
Wislanie Jaskowice2-2Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 1531 · Wislanie Jaskowice 1520

	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	Draw	Wislanie Jaskowice
Our model	30%	28%	42%
Market	32%	24%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	Wislanie Jaskowice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.9	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	2.3 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.70

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.80▲	Pinn 3.09 ★
X	3.60 → 3.70▲	Bet365 3.70
2	2.25 → 2.05▼	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:49 +15’	2.55	3.60	2.25
04:23 +7’	2.80▲	3.70▲	2.05▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:18 +12’	3.03	3.40	2.00
06:49 +11’	3.05▲	3.34▼	2.01▲
14:02 +74’	3.09▲	3.39▲	2.03▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 1–1–0 Wislanie Jaskowice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Poland III Liga	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	2-0 HT 1-0	Wislanie Jaskowice
08/11/25 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	2-2 HT 0-0	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	9	7	2	0	14	2	23
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	9	5	4	0	14	6	19
3	Czarni Polaniec	9	6	0	3	16	14	18
4	JKS Jaroslaw	9	5	1	3	24	15	16
5	Wislanie Jaskowice	8	5	1	2	13	7	16
6	Wisloka Debica	9	5	1	3	12	11	16
7	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	9	4	2	3	12	9	14
8	Naprzod Jedrzejow	9	4	2	3	20	19	14
9	Wisla Krakow II	9	3	3	3	12	12	12
10	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	9	3	2	4	7	9	11
11	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	9	3	2	4	13	17	11
12	Hetman Zamosc	9	2	4	3	16	17	10
13	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	8	1	5	2	8	9	8
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	9	2	2	5	9	13	8
15	Star Starachowice	9	1	4	4	7	14	7
16	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	9	2	1	6	10	18	7
17	Moravia Morawica	9	2	0	7	9	18	6
18	Korona Kielce II	9	1	2	6	20	26	5

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	Wislanie Jaskowice
Korona Kielce II	2-2 D	1-4 L
JKS Jaroslaw	2-2 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna

WWDLLDWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	1-0	2-2	5	6	D
04/09	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
28/08	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
23/08	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
19/08	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
14/08	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	13	3	L
08/08	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
01/08	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	7	3	D
30/05	Swidniczanka Swidnik Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
22/05	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	3	4	W

Wislanie Jaskowice

LLWWWDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	3-0	3-1	2	5	W
06/09	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	1-0	1-2	8	8	L
28/08	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
22/08	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
19/08	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	10	7	D
15/08	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	2-1	2-1	3	9	W
08/08	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
02/08	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
30/05	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	1-2	1-4	12	7	L
22/05	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	7	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Wislanie Jaskowice?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Wislanie Jaskowice win (43%). Probabilities: Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 31%, draw 26%, Wislanie Jaskowice 43%.

How many goals are expected in Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Wislanie Jaskowice?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 1.21 · Wislanie Jaskowice 1.46), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Wislanie Jaskowice?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.