Football · Poland III Liga · 19/09, 18:00
Prediction: KSZO Ostrowiec vs Chelmianka Chelm
Team pages: KSZO Ostrowiec · Chelmianka Chelm
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
KSZO Ostrowiec1.15
Chelmianka Chelm1.17
1X2
KSZO Ostrowiec
Draw
Chelmianka Chelm
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
KSZO Ostrowiec
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Chelmianka Chelm
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KSZO Ostrowiec
1–5
Chelmianka Chelm
(6 last)
- Chelmianka Chelm1-0KSZO Ostrowiec
- KSZO Ostrowiec1-3Chelmianka Chelm
- KSZO Ostrowiec3-0Chelmianka Chelm
- Chelmianka Chelm4-1KSZO Ostrowiec
- KSZO Ostrowiec0-3Chelmianka Chelm
- Chelmianka Chelm2-1KSZO Ostrowiec
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chelmianka Chelm (rating 1571 vs 1629).
- H2H favours Chelmianka Chelm: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KSZO Ostrowiec | Chelmianka Chelm | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.7 | 1.8 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 1.1 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.4 | 3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KSZO Ostrowiec 1–0–5 Chelmianka Chelm
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 Poland III Liga | Chelmianka Chelm | 1-0 HT 0-0 | KSZO Ostrowiec |
| 25/10/25 Poland III Liga | KSZO Ostrowiec | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Chelmianka Chelm |
| 26/04/25 Poland III Liga | KSZO Ostrowiec | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Chelmianka Chelm |
| 28/09/24 Poland III Liga | Chelmianka Chelm | 4-1 HT 4-0 | KSZO Ostrowiec |
| 24/11/23 Poland III Liga | KSZO Ostrowiec | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Chelmianka Chelm |
| 05/08/23 Poland III Liga | Chelmianka Chelm | 2-1 HT 2-1 | KSZO Ostrowiec |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 22 |
| 2 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Czarni Polaniec | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | JKS Jaroslaw | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 13 |
| 6 | Wisloka Debica | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| 7 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| 8 | Wisla Krakow II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
| 10 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 11 |
| 11 | Hetman Zamosc | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 9 |
| 12 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8 |
| 13 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 14 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 7 |
| 15 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 6 |
| 18 | Korona Kielce II | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 25 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KSZO Ostrowiec | Chelmianka Chelm |
|---|---|---|
| Wisla Krakow II | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Naprzod Jedrzejow | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Moravia Morawica | 4-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Chelmianka Chelm (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KSZO Ostrowiec
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 30/08 | Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/08 | Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 14/08 | Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga |
3-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Star Starachowice Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/06 | KTS-K Luzino Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Chelmianka Chelm
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 05/09 | Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/08 | Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/08 | Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KSZO Ostrowiec vs Chelmianka Chelm?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chelmianka Chelm win (35%). Probabilities: KSZO Ostrowiec 34%, draw 31%, Chelmianka Chelm 35%.
How many goals are expected in KSZO Ostrowiec vs Chelmianka Chelm?
The model expects 2.31 goals (KSZO Ostrowiec 1.15 · Chelmianka Chelm 1.17), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in KSZO Ostrowiec vs Chelmianka Chelm?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.