Football · Poland III Liga · 19/09, 18:00

Prediction: Wisloka Debica vs Korona Kielce II

Team pages: Wisloka Debica · Korona Kielce II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.73Total

Wisloka Debica2.31

Korona Kielce II1.42

1X2

57% 21% 22%

Wisloka Debica Draw Korona Kielce II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Wisloka Debica 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Korona Kielce II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLLDLWLD

Head-to-head

Wisloka Debica 2–4 Korona Kielce II (6 last)

Korona Kielce II1-0Wisloka Debica
Wisloka Debica2-3Korona Kielce II
Wisloka Debica0-2Korona Kielce II
Korona Kielce II2-0Wisloka Debica
Korona Kielce II2-4Wisloka Debica
Wisloka Debica2-1Korona Kielce II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wisloka Debica 1461 · Korona Kielce II 1470

	Wisloka Debica	Draw	Korona Kielce II
Our model	57%	21%	22%
Market	57%	21%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Korona Kielce II: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wisloka Debica	Korona Kielce II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.7	2.6 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	1.2 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.4	1.9 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	5.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.33

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:49 +3’	1.57	4.33	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wisloka Debica 2–0–4 Korona Kielce II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/05/26 Poland III Liga	Korona Kielce II	1-0 HT 1-0	Wisloka Debica
24/10/25 Poland III Liga	Wisloka Debica	2-3 HT 1-1	Korona Kielce II
01/03/25 Poland III Liga	Wisloka Debica	0-2 HT 0-1	Korona Kielce II
11/08/24 Poland III Liga	Korona Kielce II	2-0 HT 0-0	Wisloka Debica
28/05/23 Poland III Liga	Korona Kielce II	2-4 HT 0-2	Wisloka Debica
29/10/22 Poland III Liga	Wisloka Debica	2-1 HT 1-0	Korona Kielce II

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	8	7	1	0	14	2	22
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	8	5	3	0	14	6	18
3	Czarni Polaniec	8	6	0	2	14	9	18
4	Wislanie Jaskowice	8	5	1	2	13	7	16
5	JKS Jaroslaw	8	4	1	3	19	13	13
6	Wisloka Debica	8	4	1	3	11	11	13
7	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	8	3	2	3	10	9	11
8	Wisla Krakow II	8	3	2	3	9	9	11
9	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	8	3	2	3	7	7	11
10	Naprzod Jedrzejow	8	3	2	3	15	17	11
11	Hetman Zamosc	8	2	3	3	13	14	9
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	8	1	5	2	8	9	8
13	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	8	2	2	4	11	16	8
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	8	2	1	5	9	13	7
15	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	8	2	1	5	8	13	7
16	Star Starachowice	8	1	3	4	7	14	6
17	Moravia Morawica	8	2	0	6	8	16	6
18	Korona Kielce II	8	1	2	5	20	25	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wisloka Debica	Korona Kielce II
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	2-1 W	2-2 D
JKS Jaroslaw	3-1 W	2-6 L
AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	1-1 D	4-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Wisloka Debica (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wisloka Debica

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	1-1	3-2	2	2	W
06/09	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
29/08	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
19/08	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
14/08	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
08/08	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	0-0	3-1	4	5	W
02/08	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
30/05	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
23/05	Avia Swidnik Poland III Liga	0-2	0-4	3	2	L

Korona Kielce II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	7	6	D
05/09	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	1-3	2-6	5	7	L
29/08	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
22/08	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	0-1	3-4	2	5	L
19/08	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	2-0	2-2	3	2	D
14/08	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	0-3	2-3	7	5	L
08/08	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
01/08	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	3-3	4-5	7	6	L
30/05	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	2-1	4-1	3	7	W
22/05	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	5	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wisloka Debica vs Korona Kielce II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wisloka Debica win (57%). Probabilities: Wisloka Debica 57%, draw 21%, Korona Kielce II 22%.

How many goals are expected in Wisloka Debica vs Korona Kielce II?

The model expects 3.73 goals (Wisloka Debica 2.31 · Korona Kielce II 1.42), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Wisloka Debica vs Korona Kielce II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.