Football · Poland III Liga · 19/09, 15:30

Prediction: Sleza Wroclaw vs Miedz Legnica II

Team pages: Sleza Wroclaw · Miedz Legnica II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.97Total

Sleza Wroclaw1.75

Miedz Legnica II2.23

1X2

29% 23% 48%

Sleza Wroclaw Draw Miedz Legnica II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Sleza Wroclaw 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLLWLL

Miedz Legnica II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLDLLDWW

Head-to-head

Sleza Wroclaw 4–1–1 Miedz Legnica II (6 last)

Sleza Wroclaw3-2Miedz Legnica II
Miedz Legnica II1-2Sleza Wroclaw
Sleza Wroclaw0-0Miedz Legnica II
Miedz Legnica II2-1Sleza Wroclaw
Miedz Legnica II2-4Sleza Wroclaw
Sleza Wroclaw3-1Miedz Legnica II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sleza Wroclaw 1483 · Miedz Legnica II 1496

	Sleza Wroclaw	Draw	Miedz Legnica II
Our model	30%	22%	48%
Market	29%	24%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.97 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sleza Wroclaw: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sleza Wroclaw	Miedz Legnica II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.8	2.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	1.1 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.5	2.5 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.75

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 1.15 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:55 +8’	3.10	3.75	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sleza Wroclaw 4–1–1 Miedz Legnica II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Poland III Liga	Sleza Wroclaw	3-2 HT 1-1	Miedz Legnica II
18/10/25 Poland III Liga	Miedz Legnica II	1-2 HT 1-0	Sleza Wroclaw
14/03/25 Poland III Liga	Sleza Wroclaw	0-0 HT 0-0	Miedz Legnica II
20/08/24 Poland III Liga	Miedz Legnica II	2-1 HT 0-0	Sleza Wroclaw
23/04/23 Poland III Liga	Miedz Legnica II	2-4 HT 1-1	Sleza Wroclaw
17/09/22 Poland III Liga	Sleza Wroclaw	3-1 HT 1-1	Miedz Legnica II

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	8	7	1	0	14	2	22
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	8	5	3	0	14	6	18
3	Czarni Polaniec	8	6	0	2	14	9	18
4	Wislanie Jaskowice	8	5	1	2	13	7	16
5	JKS Jaroslaw	8	4	1	3	19	13	13
6	Wisloka Debica	8	4	1	3	11	11	13
7	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	8	3	2	3	10	9	11
8	Wisla Krakow II	8	3	2	3	9	9	11
9	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	8	3	2	3	7	7	11
10	Naprzod Jedrzejow	8	3	2	3	15	17	11
11	Hetman Zamosc	8	2	3	3	13	14	9
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	8	1	5	2	8	9	8
13	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	8	2	2	4	11	16	8
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	8	2	1	5	9	13	7
15	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	8	2	1	5	8	13	7
16	Star Starachowice	8	1	3	4	7	14	6
17	Moravia Morawica	8	2	0	6	8	16	6
18	Korona Kielce II	8	1	2	5	20	25	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sleza Wroclaw	Miedz Legnica II
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	2-0 W	5-0 W
Stal Brzeg	1-5 L	4-2 W
KS Stilon Gorzow	1-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Miedz Legnica II (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sleza Wroclaw

WLLLWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
05/09	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	9	3	L
29/08	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga	0-1	0-3	4	0	L
19/08	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	1-1	1-3	0	2	L
15/08	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga	0-0	2-0	6	5	W
07/08	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	0-1	1-5	2	5	L
01/08	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
29/05	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	0-2	0-6	0	3	L
23/05	Pniowek Pawlowice Slaskie Poland III Liga	1-0	4-2	–	–	W

Miedz Legnica II

WWLLDLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga	3-0	5-0	5	2	W
05/09	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	3-2	4-2	–	–	W
28/08	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	8	5	D
22/08	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	1-3	2-3	3	7	L
19/08	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
14/08	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	1-1	3-3	5	3	D
09/08	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
01/08	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
30/05	LZS Starowice Dolne Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	8	7	W
22/05	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	1-0	3-1	6	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sleza Wroclaw vs Miedz Legnica II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Miedz Legnica II win (48%). Probabilities: Sleza Wroclaw 29%, draw 23%, Miedz Legnica II 48%.

How many goals are expected in Sleza Wroclaw vs Miedz Legnica II?

The model expects 3.97 goals (Sleza Wroclaw 1.75 · Miedz Legnica II 2.23), with a 60% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sleza Wroclaw vs Miedz Legnica II?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.