Football · Poland III Liga · 22/08, 17:00

Prediction: KS Stilon Gorzow vs MKS Kluczbork

Team pages: KS Stilon Gorzow · MKS Kluczbork

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

KS Stilon Gorzow1.5

MKS Kluczbork1.46

1X2

38% 26% 36%

KS Stilon Gorzow Draw MKS Kluczbork

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

KS Stilon Gorzow 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWDDWLDW

MKS Kluczbork 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLWWLWLL

Head-to-head

KS Stilon Gorzow 1–1–4 MKS Kluczbork (6 last)

MKS Kluczbork3-0KS Stilon Gorzow
KS Stilon Gorzow1-5MKS Kluczbork
MKS Kluczbork3-2KS Stilon Gorzow
KS Stilon Gorzow0-0MKS Kluczbork
MKS Kluczbork0-2KS Stilon Gorzow
KS Stilon Gorzow2-3MKS Kluczbork

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KS Stilon Gorzow 1550 · MKS Kluczbork 1482

	KS Stilon Gorzow	Draw	MKS Kluczbork
Our model	37%	27%	36%
Market	38%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KS Stilon Gorzow (rating 1550 vs 1482).
H2H favours MKS Kluczbork: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KS Stilon Gorzow	MKS Kluczbork
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.8	1.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.3	2.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.60

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:40 +4’	2.35	3.60	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KS Stilon Gorzow 1–1–4 MKS Kluczbork

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/25 Poland III Liga	MKS Kluczbork	3-0 HT 1-0	KS Stilon Gorzow
21/09/24 Poland III Liga	KS Stilon Gorzow	1-5 HT 0-3	MKS Kluczbork
09/03/24 Poland III Liga	MKS Kluczbork	3-2 HT 1-0	KS Stilon Gorzow
19/08/23 Poland III Liga	KS Stilon Gorzow	0-0 HT 0-0	MKS Kluczbork
15/04/23 Poland III Liga	MKS Kluczbork	0-2 HT 0-1	KS Stilon Gorzow
10/09/22 Poland III Liga	KS Stilon Gorzow	2-3 HT 2-1	MKS Kluczbork

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	4	4	0	0	8	1	12
2	Wislanie Jaskowice	4	3	1	0	8	3	10
3	KSZO Ostrowiec	4	2	2	0	6	4	8
4	Wisla Krakow II	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
5	Wisloka Debica	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
6	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
7	Hetman Zamosc	4	1	3	0	7	4	6
8	Moravia Morawica	4	2	0	2	6	7	6
9	Czarni Polaniec	4	2	0	2	4	5	6
10	Naprzod Jedrzejow	4	2	0	2	9	11	6
11	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	4	1	1	2	6	6	4
12	JKS Jaroslaw	4	1	1	2	7	8	4
13	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	4	1	1	2	6	8	4
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	4	1	1	2	5	8	4
15	Star Starachowice	4	1	1	2	4	7	4
16	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	4	0	2	2	4	7	2
17	Korona Kielce II	4	0	1	3	9	12	1
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	4	0	1	3	2	6	1

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

KS Stilon Gorzow

LWWWDDWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	1-1	4-1	4	3	W
15/08	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
08/08	Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga	1-0	1-2	2	8	L
01/08	Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
17/06	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland IV Liga	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
13/06	Piast Zmigrod Poland IV Liga	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
06/06	Pogon Skwierzyna Poland IV Liga	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
29/05	Lechia Zielona Góra II Poland IV Liga	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
25/04	Dozamet Nowa Sol Poland IV Liga	1-0	5-1	6	2	W
21/02	Blekitni Stargard Europe Friendlies	1-2	1-2	7	1	L

MKS Kluczbork

DWLLWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
08/08	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	3	9	W
01/08	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	5	7	L
08/07	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Europe Friendlies	0-0	4-1	3	4	W
29/05	Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga	2-0	6-0	7	3	W
23/05	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
17/05	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-1	1-3	6	0	L
13/05	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
09/05	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KS Stilon Gorzow vs MKS Kluczbork?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KS Stilon Gorzow win (38%). Probabilities: KS Stilon Gorzow 38%, draw 26%, MKS Kluczbork 36%.

How many goals are expected in KS Stilon Gorzow vs MKS Kluczbork?

The model expects 2.96 goals (KS Stilon Gorzow 1.5 · MKS Kluczbork 1.46), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KS Stilon Gorzow vs MKS Kluczbork?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.