Football · Poland III Liga · 22/08, 12:00

Prediction: Zaglebie Lubin II vs Miedz Legnica II

Team pages: Zaglebie Lubin II · Miedz Legnica II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.99Total

Zaglebie Lubin II2.32

Miedz Legnica II1.67

1X2

51% 22% 27%

Zaglebie Lubin II Draw Miedz Legnica II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Zaglebie Lubin II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Miedz Legnica II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWLLDL

Head-to-head

Zaglebie Lubin II 3–2–1 Miedz Legnica II (6 last)

Zaglebie Lubin II1-3Miedz Legnica II
Miedz Legnica II5-5Zaglebie Lubin II
Zaglebie Lubin II2-0Miedz Legnica II
Zaglebie Lubin II2-1Miedz Legnica II
Miedz Legnica II0-1Zaglebie Lubin II
Miedz Legnica II1-1Zaglebie Lubin II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zaglebie Lubin II 1474 · Miedz Legnica II 1512

	Zaglebie Lubin II	Draw	Miedz Legnica II
Our model	52%	21%	27%
Market	51%	23%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Zaglebie Lubin II: 3-2-1.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zaglebie Lubin II	Miedz Legnica II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.1	2.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	1.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 6.4	3.1 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.90

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:55 +4’	1.75	3.90	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zaglebie Lubin II 3–2–1 Miedz Legnica II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Poland III Liga	Zaglebie Lubin II	1-3 HT 0-1	Miedz Legnica II
07/11/25 Poland III Liga	Miedz Legnica II	5-5 HT 0-2	Zaglebie Lubin II
14/07/24 Europe Friendlies	Zaglebie Lubin II	2-0 HT 0-0	Miedz Legnica II
30/04/22 Poland III Liga	Zaglebie Lubin II	2-1 HT 0-1	Miedz Legnica II
25/09/21 Poland III Liga	Miedz Legnica II	0-1 HT 0-0	Zaglebie Lubin II
13/03/21 Poland III Liga	Miedz Legnica II	1-1 HT 0-1	Zaglebie Lubin II

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	4	4	0	0	8	1	12
2	Wislanie Jaskowice	4	3	1	0	8	3	10
3	KSZO Ostrowiec	4	2	2	0	6	4	8
4	Wisla Krakow II	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
5	Wisloka Debica	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
6	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
7	Hetman Zamosc	4	1	3	0	7	4	6
8	Moravia Morawica	4	2	0	2	6	7	6
9	Czarni Polaniec	4	2	0	2	4	5	6
10	Naprzod Jedrzejow	4	2	0	2	9	11	6
11	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	4	1	1	2	6	6	4
12	JKS Jaroslaw	4	1	1	2	7	8	4
13	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	4	1	1	2	6	8	4
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	4	1	1	2	5	8	4
15	Star Starachowice	4	1	1	2	4	7	4
16	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	4	0	2	2	4	7	2
17	Korona Kielce II	4	0	1	3	9	12	1
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	4	0	1	3	2	6	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zaglebie Lubin II	Miedz Legnica II
Odra Bytom Odrzanski	0-1 L	0-1 L
Warta Gorzow	2-1 W	2-0 W
Carina Gubin	1-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Miedz Legnica II (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Zaglebie Lubin II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
16/08	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	1-0	2-2	6	7	D
08/08	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
01/08	Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
15/07	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
11/07	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Europe Friendlies	0-3	0-4	9	1	L
30/05	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga	1-3	2-3	4	4	L
22/05	Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga	0-1	1-3	9	8	L
15/05	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	1	1	W
12/05	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	1-1	1-4	7	3	L

Miedz Legnica II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
14/08	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	1-1	3-3	5	3	D
09/08	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
01/08	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
30/05	LZS Starowice Dolne Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	8	7	W
22/05	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	1-0	3-1	6	8	W
16/05	Pniowek Pawlowice Slaskie Poland III Liga	5-0	6-0	4	3	W
13/05	Gornik Zabrze II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
08/05	Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga	1-1	2-3	7	3	L
01/05	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	2-0	2-0	8	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zaglebie Lubin II vs Miedz Legnica II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zaglebie Lubin II win (51%). Probabilities: Zaglebie Lubin II 51%, draw 22%, Miedz Legnica II 27%.

How many goals are expected in Zaglebie Lubin II vs Miedz Legnica II?

The model expects 3.99 goals (Zaglebie Lubin II 2.32 · Miedz Legnica II 1.67), with a 57% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Zaglebie Lubin II vs Miedz Legnica II?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.