Football · Poland III Liga · 12/09, 12:00

Prediction: Miedz Legnica II vs LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

Team pages: Miedz Legnica II · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.27Total

Miedz Legnica II1.77

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj1.5

1X2

43% 25% 32%

Miedz Legnica II Draw LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Miedz Legnica II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLLDLLDW

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Miedz Legnica II 2–2–2 LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj (6 last)

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj1-2Miedz Legnica II
Miedz Legnica II1-3LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Miedz Legnica II5-1LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj1-1Miedz Legnica II
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj2-0Miedz Legnica II
Miedz Legnica II2-2LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Miedz Legnica II 1503 · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1488

	Miedz Legnica II	Draw	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Our model	43%	25%	32%
Market	43%	25%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Miedz Legnica II	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.7	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1.2	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.6	1.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.3	5.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.60

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:08 +8’	2.05	3.60	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Miedz Legnica II 2–2–2 LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Poland III Liga	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	1-2 HT 0-0	Miedz Legnica II
19/09/25 Poland III Liga	Miedz Legnica II	1-3 HT 0-2	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
05/04/25 Poland III Liga	Miedz Legnica II	5-1 HT 0-0	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
05/09/24 Poland III Liga	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	1-1 HT 0-1	Miedz Legnica II
04/03/23 Poland III Liga	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	2-0 HT 0-0	Miedz Legnica II
06/08/22 Poland III Liga	Miedz Legnica II	2-2 HT 1-0	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	7	7	0	0	13	1	21
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	7	4	3	0	13	6	15
3	Czarni Polaniec	7	5	0	2	12	8	15
4	JKS Jaroslaw	7	4	1	2	18	10	13
5	Wislanie Jaskowice	7	4	1	2	10	6	13
6	Wisla Krakow II	7	3	2	2	9	8	11
7	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	7	3	1	3	9	8	10
8	Wisloka Debica	7	3	1	3	8	9	10
9	Hetman Zamosc	7	2	3	2	11	10	9
10	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	7	2	2	3	5	6	8
11	Naprzod Jedrzejow	7	2	2	3	11	15	8
12	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	7	2	2	3	10	14	8
13	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	7	1	4	2	6	7	7
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	7	2	1	4	8	11	7
15	Star Starachowice	7	1	3	3	5	11	6
16	Moravia Morawica	7	2	0	5	7	14	6
17	Korona Kielce II	7	1	1	5	18	23	4
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	7	1	1	5	6	12	4

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Miedz Legnica II	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Stal Brzeg	4-2 W	1-1 D
Zaglebie Lubin II	2-3 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Miedz Legnica II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	3-2	4-2	–	–	W
28/08	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	8	5	D
22/08	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	1-3	2-3	3	7	L
19/08	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
14/08	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	1-1	3-3	5	3	D
09/08	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
01/08	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
30/05	LZS Starowice Dolne Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	8	7	W
22/05	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	1-0	3-1	6	8	W
16/05	Pniowek Pawlowice Slaskie Poland III Liga	5-0	6-0	4	3	W

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	2-0	3-0	1	8	W
29/08	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	4	9	D
22/08	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/08	Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
15/08	Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
09/08	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
31/07	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
30/05	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	3-1	3-2	6	4	W
22/05	Skra Czestochowa Poland III Liga	0-4	0-4	4	6	L
16/05	Gornik Zabrze II Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	4	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Miedz Legnica II vs LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Miedz Legnica II win (43%). Probabilities: Miedz Legnica II 43%, draw 25%, LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 32%.

How many goals are expected in Miedz Legnica II vs LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj?

The model expects 3.27 goals (Miedz Legnica II 1.77 · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1.5), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Miedz Legnica II vs LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.