Football · Poland III Liga · 15/08, 13:00

Prediction: LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Sleza Wroclaw

Team pages: LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj2.01

Sleza Wroclaw1.24

1X2

54% 23% 22%

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Draw Sleza Wroclaw

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWLDLWDL

Sleza Wroclaw 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWLWLL

Head-to-head

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 3–1–2 Sleza Wroclaw (6 last)

Sleza Wroclaw2-1LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj4-0Sleza Wroclaw
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj2-1Sleza Wroclaw
Sleza Wroclaw2-2LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj3-1Sleza Wroclaw
Sleza Wroclaw1-0LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1486 · Sleza Wroclaw 1484

	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	Draw	Sleza Wroclaw
Our model	54%	23%	22%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	Sleza Wroclaw
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.7	1.6 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.1	1.1 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.80

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:49 +5’	1.65	3.80	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 3–1–2 Sleza Wroclaw

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Poland III Liga	Sleza Wroclaw	2-1 HT 2-1	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
13/09/25 Poland III Liga	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	4-0 HT 1-0	Sleza Wroclaw
08/03/25 Poland III Liga	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	2-1 HT 1-0	Sleza Wroclaw
16/08/24 Poland III Liga	Sleza Wroclaw	2-2 HT 2-0	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
18/05/24 Poland III Liga	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	3-1 HT 2-0	Sleza Wroclaw
29/10/23 Poland III Liga	Sleza Wroclaw	1-0 HT 1-0	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Wisloka Debica	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	3	2	1	0	4	2	7
3	Wislanie Jaskowice	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
4	Wisla Krakow II	2	2	0	0	6	3	6
5	Czarni Polaniec	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
6	Chelmianka Chelm	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
7	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
8	Moravia Morawica	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
9	Naprzod Jedrzejow	2	1	0	1	5	6	3
10	Hetman Zamosc	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
11	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
11	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
13	JKS Jaroslaw	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
14	Star Starachowice	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
15	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
16	Korona Kielce II	3	0	0	3	7	10	0
17	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	2	0	0	2	0	3	0
18	Wieczysta Krakow II	2	0	0	2	2	6	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	Sleza Wroclaw
Stal Brzeg	1-1 D	1-5 L
Zaglebie Lubin II	3-2 W	1-2 L
Skra Czestochowa	0-4 L	1-2 L
MKS Kluczbork	0-3 L	0-6 L
Gornik Polkowice	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

DWLWLDLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
31/07	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
30/05	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	3-1	3-2	6	4	W
22/05	Skra Czestochowa Poland III Liga	0-4	0-4	4	6	L
16/05	Gornik Zabrze II Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	4	7	D
13/05	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
08/05	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
01/05	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	7	7	L
25/04	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
17/04	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D

Sleza Wroclaw

LLWLWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	0-1	1-5	2	5	L
01/08	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
18/07	Chrobry Glogow Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
29/05	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	0-2	0-6	0	3	L
23/05	Pniowek Pawlowice Slaskie Poland III Liga	1-0	4-2	–	–	W
16/05	Slowianin Woliborz Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	4	7	W
13/05	Skra Czestochowa Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	7	2	L
08/05	Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga	1-1	3-2	4	3	W
01/05	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
25/04	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	1-1	1-2	2	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Sleza Wroclaw?

According to our model, the most likely result is a LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj win (54%). Probabilities: LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 54%, draw 23%, Sleza Wroclaw 22%.

How many goals are expected in LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Sleza Wroclaw?

The model expects 3.25 goals (LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 2.01 · Sleza Wroclaw 1.24), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Sleza Wroclaw?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.