Football · Poland III Liga · 03/10, 15:30

Prediction: JKS Jaroslaw vs Naprzod Jedrzejow

Team pages: JKS Jaroslaw · Naprzod Jedrzejow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.01Total

JKS Jaroslaw2.19

Naprzod Jedrzejow1.82

1X2

46% 22% 32%

JKS Jaroslaw Draw Naprzod Jedrzejow

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

JKS Jaroslaw 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Naprzod Jedrzejow 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JKS Jaroslaw	Naprzod Jedrzejow
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.7	2.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	1.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.9	3.3 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.4	5.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.86

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 4.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:03

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.58 → 1.58	Pinn 1.58
X	3.97 → 3.97	Pinn 3.97
2	4.10 → 4.10	Pinn 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:43 +20’	1.58	3.97	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	10	8	2	0	16	3	26
2	Wisloka Debica	11	7	1	3	16	13	22
3	KSZO Ostrowiec	10	5	4	1	15	8	19
4	Czarni Polaniec	10	6	1	3	17	15	19
5	JKS Jaroslaw	10	5	2	3	26	17	17
6	Wislanie Jaskowice	10	5	2	3	15	10	17
7	Naprzod Jedrzejow	10	5	2	3	24	20	17
8	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	10	4	2	4	13	13	14
9	Hetman Zamosc	10	3	4	3	18	18	13
10	Wisla Krakow II	10	3	4	3	13	13	13
11	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	10	2	6	2	10	10	12
12	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	11	3	3	5	10	13	12
13	Star Starachowice	11	2	5	4	13	17	11
14	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	10	3	2	5	14	21	11
15	Korona Kielce II	10	2	2	6	21	26	8
16	Wieczysta Krakow II	10	2	2	6	9	14	8
17	Moravia Morawica	10	2	1	7	11	20	7
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	11	2	1	8	11	21	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JKS Jaroslaw	Naprzod Jedrzejow
Moravia Morawica	2-2 D	2-4 L
Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	5-2 W	2-1 W
Wislanie Jaskowice	1-3 L	0-2 L
Korona Kielce II	6-2 W	5-4 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: JKS Jaroslaw (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JKS Jaroslaw

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	0-0	2-2	9	3	D
19/09	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	2-2	5-2	11	5	W
12/09	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	0-3	1-3	5	5	L
05/09	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	3-1	6-2	6	7	W
29/08	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	1-0	3-0	5	4	W
22/08	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/08	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-1	3-1	3	4	W
15/08	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	1-2	1-2	10	3	L
08/08	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-0	1-3	9	5	L
01/08	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	4	3	D

Naprzod Jedrzejow

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	2-0	4-1	4	5	W
19/09	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	4-1	5-2	–	–	W
12/09	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	2-1	4-2	–	–	W
05/09	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
30/08	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
23/08	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
19/08	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	1-2	2-4	–	–	L
15/08	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	0-1	2-1	8	5	W
08/08	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
01/08	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	3-3	5-4	6	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JKS Jaroslaw vs Naprzod Jedrzejow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JKS Jaroslaw win (46%). Probabilities: JKS Jaroslaw 46%, draw 22%, Naprzod Jedrzejow 32%.

How many goals are expected in JKS Jaroslaw vs Naprzod Jedrzejow?

The model expects 4.01 goals (JKS Jaroslaw 2.19 · Naprzod Jedrzejow 1.82), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in JKS Jaroslaw vs Naprzod Jedrzejow?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.