Football · Poland III Liga · 03/10, 13:00

Prediction: LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj vs ROW 1964 Rybnik

Team pages: LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj1.78

ROW 1964 Rybnik1.45

1X2

45% 25% 31%

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Draw ROW 1964 Rybnik

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLWDWLWL

ROW 1964 Rybnik 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLLDDW

Head-to-head

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 0–1–1 ROW 1964 Rybnik (2 last)

ROW 1964 Rybnik1-1LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj2-3ROW 1964 Rybnik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1480 · ROW 1964 Rybnik 1498

	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	Draw	ROW 1964 Rybnik
Our model	44%	25%	31%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	ROW 1964 Rybnik
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.5	2.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.6	1.8 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.4	4.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.70

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:10 +6’	2.00	3.70	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 0–1–1 ROW 1964 Rybnik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/21 Poland III Liga	ROW 1964 Rybnik	1-1 HT 0-1	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
19/09/20 Poland III Liga	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	2-3 HT 0-2	ROW 1964 Rybnik

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	10	8	2	0	16	3	26
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	10	5	4	1	15	8	19
3	Czarni Polaniec	10	6	1	3	17	15	19
4	Wisloka Debica	10	6	1	3	14	12	19
5	JKS Jaroslaw	10	5	2	3	26	17	17
6	Wislanie Jaskowice	10	5	2	3	15	10	17
7	Naprzod Jedrzejow	10	5	2	3	24	20	17
8	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	10	4	2	4	13	13	14
9	Hetman Zamosc	10	3	4	3	18	18	13
10	Wisla Krakow II	10	3	4	3	13	13	13
11	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	10	2	6	2	10	10	12
12	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	11	3	3	5	10	13	12
13	Star Starachowice	11	2	5	4	13	17	11
14	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	10	3	2	5	14	21	11
15	Korona Kielce II	10	2	2	6	21	26	8
16	Wieczysta Krakow II	10	2	2	6	9	14	8
17	Moravia Morawica	10	2	1	7	11	20	7
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	10	2	1	7	10	19	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	ROW 1964 Rybnik
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	0-2 L	0-1 L
Warta Gorzow	4-1 W	5-1 W
Zaglebie Sosnowiec	0-2 L	4-1 W
Stal Brzeg	1-1 D	4-3 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: ROW 1964 Rybnik (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

DLLLWDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
19/09	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	1-0	4-1	2	6	W
12/09	Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga	0-3	0-5	10	2	L
05/09	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	2-0	3-0	1	8	W
29/08	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	4	9	D
22/08	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/08	Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
15/08	Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
09/08	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
31/07	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	7	4	D

ROW 1964 Rybnik

WLWWLLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	3-0	4-3	1	5	W
19/09	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
05/09	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	1-1	2-3	9	4	L
29/08	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	1-0	1-3	4	3	L
22/08	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
19/08	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	0-0	4-0	12	4	W
16/08	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	1-1	4-1	–	–	W
08/08	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
01/08	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	2-0	5-1	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj vs ROW 1964 Rybnik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj win (45%). Probabilities: LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 45%, draw 25%, ROW 1964 Rybnik 31%.

How many goals are expected in LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj vs ROW 1964 Rybnik?

The model expects 3.23 goals (LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1.78 · ROW 1964 Rybnik 1.45), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj vs ROW 1964 Rybnik?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.