Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 19/09, 20:00
Prediction: KVV Thes Sport vs OH Leuven II
Team pages: KVV Thes Sport · OH Leuven II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.77Total
KVV Thes Sport2.09
OH Leuven II1.68
1X2
KVV Thes Sport
Draw
OH Leuven II
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
KVV Thes Sport
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
OH Leuven II
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KVV Thes Sport
2–1–3
OH Leuven II
(6 last)
- KVV Thes Sport3-1OH Leuven II
- OH Leuven II4-1KVV Thes Sport
- KVV Thes Sport1-1OH Leuven II
- OH Leuven II3-1KVV Thes Sport
- OH Leuven II2-3KVV Thes Sport
- KVV Thes Sport0-3OH Leuven II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · KVV Thes Sport 1523 · OH Leuven II 1473
| KVV Thes Sport | Draw | OH Leuven II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 23% | 31% |
| Market | 46% | 24% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.77 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KVV Thes Sport (rating 1523 vs 1473).
- H2H favours OH Leuven II: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KVV Thes Sport | OH Leuven II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.6 | 2.3 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.1 | 2.1 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KVV Thes Sport 2–1–3 OH Leuven II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | KVV Thes Sport | 3-1 HT 2-0 | OH Leuven II |
| 30/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | OH Leuven II | 4-1 HT 2-0 | KVV Thes Sport |
| 15/03/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | KVV Thes Sport | 1-1 HT 1-0 | OH Leuven II |
| 01/12/24 Belgium First Amateur Division | OH Leuven II | 3-1 HT 2-0 | KVV Thes Sport |
| 21/04/24 Belgium First Amateur Division | OH Leuven II | 2-3 HT 2-1 | KVV Thes Sport |
| 21/10/23 Belgium First Amateur Division | KVV Thes Sport | 0-3 HT 0-2 | OH Leuven II |
Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFC Meux | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | RWD Molenbeek | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 | Union Rochefortoise | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Tubize | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | RCS Onhaye | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Standard Liege II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Union Saint Gilloise II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Sporting Charleroi U23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | RAEC Mons | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 10 | ROC Charleroi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | RSC Habay | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Flenu | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KVV Thes Sport | OH Leuven II |
|---|---|---|
| K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 3-3 D | 2-0 W |
| SK Roeselare | 1-3 L | 4-6 L |
| Sporting Hasselt | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| KFC Merelbeke | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Tienen | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: OH Leuven II (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KVV Thes Sport
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Diegem Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
3-2 | 6-3 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 28/03 | Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 21/03 | KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 13/03 | Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 07/03 | Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
OH Leuven II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division |
3-1 | 4-3 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/04 | KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 16 | 1 | L |
| 22/03 | KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division |
3-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 15/03 | KVK Ninove Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 07/03 | SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division |
3-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KVV Thes Sport vs OH Leuven II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a KVV Thes Sport win (46%). Probabilities: KVV Thes Sport 46%, draw 23%, OH Leuven II 30%.
How many goals are expected in KVV Thes Sport vs OH Leuven II?
The model expects 3.77 goals (KVV Thes Sport 2.09 · OH Leuven II 1.68), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in KVV Thes Sport vs OH Leuven II?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.