Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 20/09, 15:00
Prediction: Tienen vs SK Roeselare
Team pages: Tienen · SK Roeselare
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Tienen0.91
SK Roeselare1.63
1X2
Tienen
Draw
SK Roeselare
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Tienen
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
SK Roeselare
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tienen
0–1–1
SK Roeselare
(2 last)
- SK Roeselare0-0Tienen
- Tienen0-3SK Roeselare
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tienen 1488 · SK Roeselare 1557
| Tienen | Draw | SK Roeselare | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 27% | 53% |
| Market | 21% | 25% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Roeselare (rating 1488 vs 1557).
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tienen | SK Roeselare | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.3 | 2.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.5 | 2.3 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tienen 0–1–1 SK Roeselare
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | SK Roeselare | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tienen |
| 14/09/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | Tienen | 0-3 HT 0-2 | SK Roeselare |
Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFC Meux | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | RWD Molenbeek | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 | Union Rochefortoise | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Tubize | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | RCS Onhaye | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Standard Liege II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Union Saint Gilloise II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Sporting Charleroi U23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | RAEC Mons | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 10 | ROC Charleroi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | RSC Habay | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Flenu | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tienen | SK Roeselare |
|---|---|---|
| OH Leuven II | 1-2 L | 6-4 W |
| Hoogstraten VV | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Belisia Bilzen SV | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Diegem Sport | 5-1 W | 2-2 D |
| KVV Thes Sport | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| KFC Merelbeke | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 3 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tienen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 29/03 | Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | Diegem Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/03 | KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 08/03 | KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
SK Roeselare
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 06/09 | KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Diegem Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 13/03 | KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 07/03 | OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-3 | 6-4 | 6 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tienen vs SK Roeselare?
According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Roeselare win (54%). Probabilities: Tienen 20%, draw 26%, SK Roeselare 54%.
How many goals are expected in Tienen vs SK Roeselare?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Tienen 0.91 · SK Roeselare 1.63), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tienen vs SK Roeselare?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.