Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 27/09, 15:00
Prediction: OH Leuven II vs K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Team pages: OH Leuven II · K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.03Total
OH Leuven II2.42
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar1.61
1X2
OH Leuven II
Draw
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
OH Leuven II
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
OH Leuven II
1–1–2
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
(4 last)
- OH Leuven II2-0K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
- K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar2-0OH Leuven II
- K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar1-1OH Leuven II
- OH Leuven II0-2K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · OH Leuven II 1493 · K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1528
| OH Leuven II | Draw | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 21% | 24% |
| Market | 54% | 22% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.03 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| OH Leuven II | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2.2 | 2 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.7 | 1.3 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.2 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · OH Leuven II 1–1–2 K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | OH Leuven II | 2-0 HT 1-0 | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar |
| 08/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 2-0 HT 1-0 | OH Leuven II |
| 25/01/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 1-1 HT 0-0 | OH Leuven II |
| 17/11/24 Belgium First Amateur Division | OH Leuven II | 0-2 HT 0-2 | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar |
Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RWD Molenbeek | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | RFC Meux | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Union Rochefortoise | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Tubize | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | RAEC Mons | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 6 | Union Saint Gilloise II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | RCS Onhaye | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| 8 | Sporting Charleroi U23 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 9 | Standard Liege II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | RSC Habay | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | ROC Charleroi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
| 12 | FC Flenu | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | OH Leuven II | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar |
|---|---|---|
| KVV Thes Sport | 3-2 W | 3-3 D |
| KVC Houtvenne | 1-3 L | 4-3 W |
| Sporting Hasselt | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: OH Leuven II (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
OH Leuven II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division |
3-1 | 4-3 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/04 | KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 16 | 1 | L |
| 22/03 | KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division |
3-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 15/03 | KVK Ninove Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/03 | Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 14/03 | Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in OH Leuven II vs K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a OH Leuven II win (55%). Probabilities: OH Leuven II 55%, draw 22%, K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 24%.
How many goals are expected in OH Leuven II vs K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar?
The model expects 4.03 goals (OH Leuven II 2.42 · K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1.61), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in OH Leuven II vs K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.