Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 20/09, 15:00

Prediction: Royal Knokke vs Belisia Bilzen SV

Team pages: Royal Knokke · Belisia Bilzen SV

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.55Total

Royal Knokke2.05

Belisia Bilzen SV1.51

1X2

50% 23% 28%

Royal Knokke Draw Belisia Bilzen SV

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Royal Knokke 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWLL

Belisia Bilzen SV 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWDLW

Head-to-head

Royal Knokke 1–2–1 Belisia Bilzen SV (4 last)

Belisia Bilzen SV2-3Royal Knokke
Royal Knokke0-3Belisia Bilzen SV
Belisia Bilzen SV2-2Royal Knokke
Royal Knokke1-1Belisia Bilzen SV

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Royal Knokke 1500 · Belisia Bilzen SV 1534

	Royal Knokke	Draw	Belisia Bilzen SV
Our model	49%	23%	28%
Market	50%	22%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Royal Knokke	Belisia Bilzen SV
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.3	2.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.5	1.6 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	3.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.80

X4.00

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 07:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 1.80▼	Pinn 1.81
X	3.75 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00
2	2.70 → 3.20▲	Pinn 3.70 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:42 +5’	2.10	3.75	2.70
07:19 +3’	1.80▼	4.00▲	3.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:32 +170’	1.81	3.72	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Royal Knokke 1–2–1 Belisia Bilzen SV

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	Belisia Bilzen SV	2-3 HT 0-0	Royal Knokke
13/09/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Royal Knokke	0-3 HT 0-1	Belisia Bilzen SV
22/02/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Belisia Bilzen SV	2-2 HT 1-1	Royal Knokke
17/11/24 Belgium First Amateur Division	Royal Knokke	1-1 HT 1-1	Belisia Bilzen SV

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	4	4	0	0	12	2	12
2	RWD Molenbeek	4	4	0	0	7	1	12
3	Union Rochefortoise	4	3	0	1	11	5	9
4	Tubize	4	2	1	1	5	6	7
5	RCS Onhaye	4	2	0	2	4	5	6
6	Standard Liege II	4	1	1	2	5	2	4
7	Union Saint Gilloise II	4	1	1	2	4	5	4
8	Sporting Charleroi U23	4	1	1	2	3	4	4
9	RAEC Mons	4	1	1	2	5	8	4
10	ROC Charleroi	4	1	1	2	3	9	4
11	RSC Habay	4	0	1	3	3	8	1
12	FC Flenu	4	0	1	3	4	11	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Royal Knokke	Belisia Bilzen SV
Cercle Brugge Reserves	1-2 L	5-0 W
KVV Zelzate	3-2 W	5-0 W
Tienen	2-0 W	0-2 L
Dessel Sport	3-4 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Belisia Bilzen SV (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Royal Knokke

WWLWWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	9	5	L
30/08	KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
26/04	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	3-2	11	6	W
19/04	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-0	2	2	W
11/04	KVK Ninove Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	4-0	8	3	W
29/03	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
21/03	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	3-1	3-4	5	3	L
15/03	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-1	1	3	W
08/03	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	3-2	2	3	W

Belisia Bilzen SV

LWWLWWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
06/09	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	3-4	2	6	L
30/08	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
26/04	Diegem Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	3-2	5	3	W
19/04	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	5-0	2	1	W
12/04	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	5-0	5	1	W
29/03	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
22/03	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	0	5	W
14/03	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
08/03	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	2-3	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Royal Knokke vs Belisia Bilzen SV?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Royal Knokke win (50%). Probabilities: Royal Knokke 50%, draw 23%, Belisia Bilzen SV 28%.

How many goals are expected in Royal Knokke vs Belisia Bilzen SV?

The model expects 3.55 goals (Royal Knokke 2.05 · Belisia Bilzen SV 1.51), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Royal Knokke vs Belisia Bilzen SV?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.