Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 20/09, 15:00

Prediction: KVV Zelzate vs KVC Houtvenne

Team pages: KVV Zelzate · KVC Houtvenne

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.66Total

KVV Zelzate1.66

KVC Houtvenne2

1X2

31% 24% 45%

KVV Zelzate Draw KVC Houtvenne

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

KVV Zelzate 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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KVC Houtvenne 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

KVV Zelzate 1–1 KVC Houtvenne (2 last)

KVV Zelzate0-3KVC Houtvenne
KVC Houtvenne0-3KVV Zelzate

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KVV Zelzate 1438 · KVC Houtvenne 1516

	KVV Zelzate	Draw	KVC Houtvenne
Our model	32%	23%	45%
Market	31%	24%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KVC Houtvenne (rating 1438 vs 1516).
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KVV Zelzate	KVC Houtvenne
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 3	2.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.4	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.3	1.1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.75

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 2.88▼	Bet365 2.88
X	4.00 → 3.75▼	Pinn 4.11 ★
2	1.73 → 2.00▲	Pinn 2.04

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:36 +10’	3.50	4.00	1.73
15:44 +4’	2.88▼	3.75▼	2.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:23 +24’	2.78	4.11	2.04

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KVV Zelzate 1–0–1 KVC Houtvenne

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	KVV Zelzate	0-3 HT 0-2	KVC Houtvenne
04/10/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	KVC Houtvenne	0-3 HT 0-1	KVV Zelzate

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	4	4	0	0	12	2	12
2	RWD Molenbeek	4	4	0	0	7	1	12
3	Union Rochefortoise	4	3	0	1	11	5	9
4	Tubize	4	2	1	1	5	6	7
5	RCS Onhaye	4	2	0	2	4	5	6
6	Standard Liege II	4	1	1	2	5	2	4
7	Union Saint Gilloise II	4	1	1	2	4	5	4
8	Sporting Charleroi U23	4	1	1	2	3	4	4
9	RAEC Mons	4	1	1	2	5	8	4
10	ROC Charleroi	4	1	1	2	3	9	4
11	RSC Habay	4	0	1	3	3	8	1
12	FC Flenu	4	0	1	3	4	11	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KVV Zelzate	KVC Houtvenne
OH Leuven II	3-4 L	3-1 W
SK Roeselare	0-3 L	0-2 L
Cercle Brugge Reserves	1-1 D	1-1 D
Belisia Bilzen SV	0-5 L	4-3 W
Dessel Sport	1-3 L	5-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: KVC Houtvenne (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KVV Zelzate

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	1-3	3-4	7	2	L
06/09	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-3	4	6	L
30/08	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
26/04	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-3	1	6	L
19/04	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-5	6	1	L
11/04	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
28/03	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-3	5	3	L
22/03	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	1-3	4-3	9	7	W
15/03	Diegem Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-3	4	2	L
08/03	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-3	9	4	L

KVC Houtvenne

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	5-0	2	4	W
06/09	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	4-3	1	6	W
29/08	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	3-0	3-1	3	4	W
26/04	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-4	–	–	L
19/04	Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
11/04	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	1-2	5	7	L
28/03	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
21/03	KVK Ninove Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	3-1	0	2	W
13/03	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
08/03	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	3-0	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KVV Zelzate vs KVC Houtvenne?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KVC Houtvenne win (45%). Probabilities: KVV Zelzate 31%, draw 24%, KVC Houtvenne 45%.

How many goals are expected in KVV Zelzate vs KVC Houtvenne?

The model expects 3.66 goals (KVV Zelzate 1.66 · KVC Houtvenne 2), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KVV Zelzate vs KVC Houtvenne?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.