Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 03/10, 20:00

Prediction: Hoogstraten VV vs KVC Houtvenne

Team pages: Hoogstraten VV · KVC Houtvenne

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.68Total

Hoogstraten VV1.76

KVC Houtvenne1.92

1X2

35% 24% 41%

Hoogstraten VV Draw KVC Houtvenne

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Hoogstraten VV 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWDLDDLD

KVC Houtvenne 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Hoogstraten VV 2–0 KVC Houtvenne (2 last)

Hoogstraten VV3-1KVC Houtvenne
KVC Houtvenne1-2Hoogstraten VV

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hoogstraten VV 1475 · KVC Houtvenne 1527

	Hoogstraten VV	Draw	KVC Houtvenne
Our model	35%	23%	42%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.68 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KVC Houtvenne (rating 1475 vs 1527).
H2H favours Hoogstraten VV: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hoogstraten VV	KVC Houtvenne
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.9	2.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 5.2	1.6 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.60

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.45▼	Pinn 2.49
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.20 → 2.35▲	Pinn 2.43 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
07:55 +31’	2.63	3.60	2.20
11:19 +11’	2.45▼	3.60	2.35▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:10 +17’	2.51	3.60	2.41
10:58 +32’	2.49▼	3.60	2.43▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hoogstraten VV 2–0–0 KVC Houtvenne

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/01/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	Hoogstraten VV	3-1 HT 1-1	KVC Houtvenne
20/09/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	KVC Houtvenne	1-2 HT 1-0	Hoogstraten VV

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RWD Molenbeek	6	5	1	0	9	2	16
2	RFC Meux	6	5	0	1	14	4	15
3	Union Rochefortoise	6	3	2	1	13	7	11
4	Tubize	6	3	2	1	9	8	11
5	Union Saint Gilloise II	6	2	2	2	6	6	8
6	RAEC Mons	5	2	1	2	10	10	7
7	ROC Charleroi	6	2	1	3	8	15	7
8	Sporting Charleroi U23	6	1	3	2	4	5	6
9	RCS Onhaye	6	2	0	4	7	12	6
10	RSC Habay	6	1	2	3	5	9	5
11	Standard Liege II	5	1	1	3	5	3	4
12	FC Flenu	6	0	1	5	8	17	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hoogstraten VV	KVC Houtvenne
RFC Mandel Utd	1-2 L	2-1 W
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	4-4 D	3-4 L
Dessel Sport	1-1 D	5-0 W
KFC Merelbeke	2-3 L	1-2 L
KVK Ninove	3-1 W	3-1 W
KVV Zelzate	2-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: KVC Houtvenne (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hoogstraten VV

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	2-2	3-3	4	1	D
19/09	RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	8	4	L
12/09	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	3-1	4-4	4	4	D
05/09	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
28/08	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	2-3	12	3	L
26/04	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
18/04	KVK Ninove Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-1	7	1	W
11/04	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-1	2	1	W
28/03	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
21/03	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	6	0	L

KVC Houtvenne

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-1	5	5	W
20/09	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
11/09	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	5-0	2	4	W
06/09	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	4-3	1	6	W
29/08	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	3-0	3-1	3	4	W
26/04	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-4	–	–	L
19/04	Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
11/04	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	1-2	5	7	L
28/03	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
21/03	KVK Ninove Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	3-1	0	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hoogstraten VV vs KVC Houtvenne?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KVC Houtvenne win (41%). Probabilities: Hoogstraten VV 35%, draw 24%, KVC Houtvenne 41%.

How many goals are expected in Hoogstraten VV vs KVC Houtvenne?

The model expects 3.68 goals (Hoogstraten VV 1.76 · KVC Houtvenne 1.92), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hoogstraten VV vs KVC Houtvenne?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.