Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 03/10, 20:00

Prediction: KVV Thes Sport vs KVV Zelzate

Team pages: KVV Thes Sport · KVV Zelzate

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

KVV Thes Sport2.18

KVV Zelzate1.39

1X2

54% 23% 23%

KVV Thes Sport Draw KVV Zelzate

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

KVV Thes Sport 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWLDWDLW

KVV Zelzate 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLDLLLD

Head-to-head

KVV Thes Sport 1–1 KVV Zelzate (2 last)

KVV Thes Sport1-2KVV Zelzate
KVV Zelzate1-3KVV Thes Sport

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KVV Thes Sport 1514 · KVV Zelzate 1427

	KVV Thes Sport	Draw	KVV Zelzate
Our model	55%	22%	23%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KVV Thes Sport (rating 1514 vs 1427).
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KVV Thes Sport	KVV Zelzate
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.7	1.2 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.6	2.3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.80

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Pinn 1.76 ★
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
09:09 +16’	1.67	3.80	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:25 +2’	1.76	3.77	3.86

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KVV Thes Sport 1–0–1 KVV Zelzate

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	KVV Thes Sport	1-2 HT 0-1	KVV Zelzate
16/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	KVV Zelzate	1-3 HT 1-1	KVV Thes Sport

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RWD Molenbeek	6	5	1	0	9	2	16
2	RFC Meux	6	5	0	1	14	4	15
3	Union Rochefortoise	6	3	2	1	13	7	11
4	Tubize	6	3	2	1	9	8	11
5	Union Saint Gilloise II	6	2	2	2	6	6	8
6	RAEC Mons	5	2	1	2	10	10	7
7	ROC Charleroi	6	2	1	3	8	15	7
8	Sporting Charleroi U23	6	1	3	2	4	5	6
9	RCS Onhaye	6	2	0	4	7	12	6
10	RSC Habay	6	1	2	3	5	9	5
11	Standard Liege II	5	1	1	3	5	3	4
12	FC Flenu	6	0	1	5	8	17	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KVV Thes Sport	KVV Zelzate
SK Roeselare	1-0 W	0-3 L
OH Leuven II	2-3 L	3-4 L
Royal Knokke	2-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: KVV Thes Sport (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KVV Thes Sport

LDWWLDWDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
19/09	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	2-3	7	5	L
12/09	KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
05/09	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
29/08	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	3-3	6	2	D
26/04	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-3	5	4	L
19/04	Diegem Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	3-2	6-3	4	2	W
11/04	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
28/03	Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
21/03	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-2	7	1	L

KVV Zelzate

WLLLLDLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
20/09	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-3	13	5	L
13/09	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	1-3	3-4	7	2	L
06/09	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-3	4	6	L
30/08	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
26/04	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-3	1	6	L
19/04	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-5	6	1	L
11/04	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
28/03	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-3	5	3	L
22/03	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	1-3	4-3	9	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KVV Thes Sport vs KVV Zelzate?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KVV Thes Sport win (54%). Probabilities: KVV Thes Sport 54%, draw 23%, KVV Zelzate 23%.

How many goals are expected in KVV Thes Sport vs KVV Zelzate?

The model expects 3.56 goals (KVV Thes Sport 2.18 · KVV Zelzate 1.39), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in KVV Thes Sport vs KVV Zelzate?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.