Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 19/09, 19:30
Prediction: Dessel Sport vs Cercle Brugge Reserves
Team pages: Dessel Sport · Cercle Brugge Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.73Total
Dessel Sport1.93
Cercle Brugge Reserves1.79
1X2
Dessel Sport
Draw
Cercle Brugge Reserves
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Dessel Sport
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Cercle Brugge Reserves
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dessel Sport
2–1–1
Cercle Brugge Reserves
(4 last)
- Dessel Sport2-2Cercle Brugge Reserves
- Cercle Brugge Reserves3-1Dessel Sport
- Cercle Brugge Reserves2-3Dessel Sport
- Dessel Sport3-2Cercle Brugge Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dessel Sport 1507 · Cercle Brugge Reserves 1448
| Dessel Sport | Draw | Cercle Brugge Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 23% | 36% |
| Market | 41% | 24% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dessel Sport (rating 1507 vs 1448).
- H2H favours Dessel Sport: 2-1-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dessel Sport | Cercle Brugge Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.3 | 1.3 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 5.1 | 2.3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dessel Sport 2–1–1 Cercle Brugge Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | Dessel Sport | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Cercle Brugge Reserves |
| 05/10/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | Cercle Brugge Reserves | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Dessel Sport |
| 09/02/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | Cercle Brugge Reserves | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Dessel Sport |
| 23/11/24 Belgium First Amateur Division | Dessel Sport | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Cercle Brugge Reserves |
Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFC Meux | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | RWD Molenbeek | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 | Union Rochefortoise | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Tubize | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | RCS Onhaye | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Standard Liege II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Union Saint Gilloise II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Sporting Charleroi U23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | RAEC Mons | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 10 | ROC Charleroi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | RSC Habay | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Flenu | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dessel Sport | Cercle Brugge Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| KVC Houtvenne | 0-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Sporting Hasselt | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| KVV Zelzate | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Royal Knokke | 4-3 W | 2-1 W |
| Belisia Bilzen SV | 0-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Dessel Sport (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dessel Sport
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division |
3-2 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 12/04 | Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-3 | 4-3 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 14/03 | Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 07/03 | KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
Cercle Brugge Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 12/04 | Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 0-5 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 15/03 | Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 08/03 | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dessel Sport vs Cercle Brugge Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dessel Sport win (41%). Probabilities: Dessel Sport 41%, draw 24%, Cercle Brugge Reserves 35%.
How many goals are expected in Dessel Sport vs Cercle Brugge Reserves?
The model expects 3.73 goals (Dessel Sport 1.93 · Cercle Brugge Reserves 1.79), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Dessel Sport vs Cercle Brugge Reserves?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.