Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 12/09, 20:00
Prediction: Hoogstraten VV vs K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Team pages: Hoogstraten VV · K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.59Total
Hoogstraten VV1.94
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar1.65
1X2
Hoogstraten VV
Draw
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Hoogstraten VV
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hoogstraten VV
0–2–2
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
(4 last)
- K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar2-0Hoogstraten VV
- Hoogstraten VV2-2K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
- K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar2-2Hoogstraten VV
- Hoogstraten VV1-2K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hoogstraten VV 1533 · K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1499
| Hoogstraten VV | Draw | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| Market | 43% | 25% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hoogstraten VV | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.3 | 1.7 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5 | 1.3 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hoogstraten VV 0–2–2 K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Hoogstraten VV |
| 27/09/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | Hoogstraten VV | 2-2 HT 1-1 | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar |
| 29/03/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Hoogstraten VV |
| 26/10/24 Belgium First Amateur Division | Hoogstraten VV | 1-2 HT 0-2 | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar |
Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Rochefortoise | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | RWD Molenbeek | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | RFC Meux | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Tubize | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | RAEC Mons | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Sporting Charleroi U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Union Saint Gilloise II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | ROC Charleroi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | RCS Onhaye | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | FC Flenu | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 11 | Standard Liege II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | RSC Habay | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hoogstraten VV
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 28/08 | KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 2-3 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | KVK Ninove Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 21/03 | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 15/03 | KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 08/03 | Diegem Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 28/02 | Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 5-3 | 8 | 4 | W |
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/03 | Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 14/03 | Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 08/03 | Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 28/02 | KVK Ninove Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hoogstraten VV vs K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hoogstraten VV win (44%). Probabilities: Hoogstraten VV 44%, draw 24%, K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 32%.
How many goals are expected in Hoogstraten VV vs K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar?
The model expects 3.59 goals (Hoogstraten VV 1.94 · K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1.65), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Hoogstraten VV vs K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.