Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 13/09, 15:00
Prediction: Belisia Bilzen SV vs KFC Merelbeke
Team pages: Belisia Bilzen SV · KFC Merelbeke
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.7Total
Belisia Bilzen SV2.04
KFC Merelbeke1.66
1X2
Belisia Bilzen SV
Draw
KFC Merelbeke
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Belisia Bilzen SV
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
KFC Merelbeke
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Belisia Bilzen SV
1–2–1
KFC Merelbeke
(4 last)
- Belisia Bilzen SV1-4KFC Merelbeke
- KFC Merelbeke0-1Belisia Bilzen SV
- KFC Merelbeke0-0Belisia Bilzen SV
- Belisia Bilzen SV1-1KFC Merelbeke
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Belisia Bilzen SV 1506 · KFC Merelbeke 1511
| Belisia Bilzen SV | Draw | KFC Merelbeke | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 23% | 31% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Belisia Bilzen SV | KFC Merelbeke | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.7 | 1.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.7 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Belisia Bilzen SV 1–2–1 KFC Merelbeke
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | Belisia Bilzen SV | 1-4 HT 1-2 | KFC Merelbeke |
| 30/08/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | KFC Merelbeke | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Belisia Bilzen SV |
| 23/03/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | KFC Merelbeke | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Belisia Bilzen SV |
| 23/11/24 Belgium First Amateur Division | Belisia Bilzen SV | 1-1 HT 1-0 | KFC Merelbeke |
Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Rochefortoise | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | RWD Molenbeek | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | RFC Meux | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Tubize | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | RAEC Mons | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Sporting Charleroi U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Union Saint Gilloise II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | ROC Charleroi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | RCS Onhaye | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | FC Flenu | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 11 | Standard Liege II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | RSC Habay | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Belisia Bilzen SV | KFC Merelbeke |
|---|---|---|
| KVC Houtvenne | 3-4 L | 2-1 W |
| SK Roeselare | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Cercle Brugge Reserves | 5-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Tienen | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Hoogstraten VV | 3-5 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Belisia Bilzen SV
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Diegem Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 29/03 | Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 14/03 | Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 08/03 | Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 28/02 | Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-2 | 3-5 | 7 | 4 | L |
KFC Merelbeke
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | KVK Ninove Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 19/04 | SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 06/04 | OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 15/03 | Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 08/03 | Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 28/02 | Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Belisia Bilzen SV vs KFC Merelbeke?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Belisia Bilzen SV win (45%). Probabilities: Belisia Bilzen SV 45%, draw 24%, KFC Merelbeke 30%.
How many goals are expected in Belisia Bilzen SV vs KFC Merelbeke?
The model expects 3.7 goals (Belisia Bilzen SV 2.04 · KFC Merelbeke 1.66), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Belisia Bilzen SV vs KFC Merelbeke?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.