Prediction: Ammanford AFC vs Colwyn Bay
Team pages: Ammanford AFC · Colwyn Bay
| Ammanford AFC | Draw | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 24% | 63% |
| Market | 14% | 21% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ammanford AFC (rating 1551 vs 1500).
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ammanford AFC | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.3 | 3.4 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.4 | 1.7 / 0 |
Standings · Wales Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff MU | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Colwyn Bay | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Llandudno | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Barry Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Briton Ferry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Airbus UK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Penybont | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | T.N.S. | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Flint Town Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Ammanford AFC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Cambrian United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Connah's Quay | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Trefelin BGC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Holywell Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ammanford AFC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Briton Ferry Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Cwmbran Celtic Wales Championship South |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 03/04 | Newport City FC Wales Championship South |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 28/03 | Treowen Stars Wales Championship South |
1-0 | 5-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 24/03 | Cambrian United Wales Championship South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 20/03 | Baglan Dragons Wales Championship South |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 14/03 | Llantwit Major Wales Championship South |
2-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 06/03 | Cardiff Draconians Wales Championship South |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 01/03 | Afan Lido Wales Championship South |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/02 | Aberystwyth Wales Championship South |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Colwyn Bay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Trefelin BGC Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 14/07 | Marine UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Altrincham UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 06/07 | Rhyl UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 03/07 | Denbigh Town UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Bala Town UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 03/04 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ammanford AFC vs Colwyn Bay?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Colwyn Bay win (64%). Probabilities: Ammanford AFC 14%, draw 22%, Colwyn Bay 64%.
How many goals are expected in Ammanford AFC vs Colwyn Bay?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Ammanford AFC 0.71 · Colwyn Bay 1.84), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ammanford AFC vs Colwyn Bay?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.