Football · Wales Premier League · 07/08, 20:45
Prediction: Cambrian United vs Briton Ferry
Team pages: Cambrian United · Briton Ferry
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Cambrian United1.36
Briton Ferry1.17
1X2
Cambrian United
Draw
Briton Ferry
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cambrian United
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Briton Ferry
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cambrian United
4–1–1
Briton Ferry
(6 last)
- Cambrian United1-0Briton Ferry
- Briton Ferry4-3Cambrian United
- Briton Ferry3-4Cambrian United
- Cambrian United3-2Briton Ferry
- Cambrian United3-2Briton Ferry
- Briton Ferry0-0Cambrian United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cambrian United 1572 · Briton Ferry 1532
| Cambrian United | Draw | Briton Ferry | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 29% | 31% |
| Market | 42% | 26% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cambrian United (rating 1572 vs 1532).
- H2H favours Cambrian United: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cambrian United | Briton Ferry | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 7.4 | 1.4 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cambrian United 4–1–1 Briton Ferry
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/25 Wales League Cup | Cambrian United | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Briton Ferry |
| 12/07/25 UK Friendlies | Briton Ferry | 4-3 HT 3-2 | Cambrian United |
| 09/02/24 Wales Championship South | Briton Ferry | 3-4 HT 0-3 | Cambrian United |
| 22/09/23 Wales Championship South | Cambrian United | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Briton Ferry |
| 27/01/23 Wales Championship South | Cambrian United | 3-2 | Briton Ferry |
| 21/10/22 Wales Championship South | Briton Ferry | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cambrian United |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff MU | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Colwyn Bay | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Llandudno | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Barry Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Briton Ferry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Airbus UK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Penybont | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | T.N.S. | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Flint Town Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Ammanford AFC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Cambrian United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Connah's Quay | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Trefelin BGC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Holywell Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cambrian United | Briton Ferry |
|---|---|---|
| Merthyr Town | 2-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Ammanford AFC | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cambrian United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 10/07 | Merthyr Town UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 26/06 | Newport City FC UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Llantwit Major Wales Championship South |
2-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 03/04 | Baglan Dragons Wales Championship South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 27/03 | Cwmbran Celtic Wales Championship South |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 24/03 | Ammanford AFC Wales Championship South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 21/03 | Aberystwyth Wales Championship South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 17/03 | Trefelin BGC Wales Championship South |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 13/03 | Afan Lido Wales Championship South |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Briton Ferry
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Ammanford AFC Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 21/07 | Merthyr Town UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Carmarthen UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | Oxford City UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Bala Town Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 21/03 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/03 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 13/03 | Llanelli Town Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cambrian United vs Briton Ferry?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cambrian United win (41%). Probabilities: Cambrian United 41%, draw 27%, Briton Ferry 32%.
How many goals are expected in Cambrian United vs Briton Ferry?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Cambrian United 1.36 · Briton Ferry 1.17), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cambrian United vs Briton Ferry?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.