Prediction: Ammanford AFC vs Connah's Quay
Team pages: Ammanford AFC · Connah's Quay
| Ammanford AFC | Draw | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 20% | 70% |
| Market | 11% | 18% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ammanford AFC | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.1 | 1.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.1 | 1.8 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llandudno | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Barry Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Penybont | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | T.N.S. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Connah's Quay | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Cardiff MU | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Caernarfon Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Briton Ferry | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Colwyn Bay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Ammanford AFC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 13 | Flint Town Utd | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 | Holywell Town | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 | Trefelin BGC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ammanford AFC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 31/07 | Briton Ferry Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Cwmbran Celtic Wales Championship South |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 03/04 | Newport City FC Wales Championship South |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 28/03 | Treowen Stars Wales Championship South |
1-0 | 5-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 24/03 | Cambrian United Wales Championship South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 20/03 | Baglan Dragons Wales Championship South |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 14/03 | Llantwit Major Wales Championship South |
2-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 06/03 | Cardiff Draconians Wales Championship South |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
Connah's Quay
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Trefelin BGC Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Holywell Town Wales Premier League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 16/07 | KF Ballkani UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 08/07 | KF Ballkani UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | Queen of South UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 03/04 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 21/03 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ammanford AFC vs Connah's Quay?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Connah's Quay win (71%). Probabilities: Ammanford AFC 11%, draw 19%, Connah's Quay 71%.
How many goals are expected in Ammanford AFC vs Connah's Quay?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Ammanford AFC 0.75 · Connah's Quay 2.23), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Ammanford AFC vs Connah's Quay?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.