Football · Wales Premier League · 21/08, 20:45

Prediction: Colwyn Bay vs Airbus UK

Team pages: Colwyn Bay · Airbus UK

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Colwyn Bay1.88
Airbus UK0.95
1X2
59% 23% 18%
Colwyn Bay Draw Airbus UK
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Colwyn Bay 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DDWLWDLWDL
Airbus UK 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WLWWWWWWLW
Head-to-head
Colwyn Bay 2–2–2 Airbus UK (6 last)
  • Airbus UK1-1Colwyn Bay
  • Colwyn Bay6-3Airbus UK
  • Colwyn Bay5-0Airbus UK
  • Colwyn Bay0-3Airbus UK
  • Airbus UK4-1Colwyn Bay
  • Colwyn Bay0-0Airbus UK
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colwyn Bay 1501 · Airbus UK 1584
Colwyn BayDrawAirbus UK
Our model58%24%18%
Market59%22%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Airbus UK (rating 1501 vs 1584).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Colwyn BayAirbus UK
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.42.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.80.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 5.32.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 01.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Colwyn Bay 222 Airbus UK

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
08/02/25
Wales Championship North
Airbus UK1-1
HT 1-1
Colwyn Bay
27/09/24
Wales Championship North
Colwyn Bay6-3
HT 2-1
Airbus UK
05/08/23
Wales League Cup
Colwyn Bay5-0
HT 2-0
Airbus UK
05/03/22
Wales Championship North
Colwyn Bay0-3Airbus UK
18/09/21
Wales Championship North
Airbus UK4-1Colwyn Bay
06/12/19
Wales Cup
Colwyn Bay0-0
HT 0-0
Airbus UK

Standings · Wales Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Llandudno 3300 1039
2 Barry Town 3300 639
3 Penybont 3210 517
4 T.N.S. 3210 307
5 Connah's Quay 3201 1036
6 Cardiff MU 3201 826
7 Caernarfon Town 3201 636
8 Airbus UK 3201 326
9 Briton Ferry 3111 334
9 Cambrian United 3111 334
11 Colwyn Bay 3111 454
12 Ammanford AFC 3012 361
13 Flint Town Utd 3003 470
14 Haverfordwest County 3003 060
15 Holywell Town 3003 3120
16 Trefelin BGC 3003 0120

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentColwyn BayAirbus UK
Ammanford AFC 2-2 D 2-0 W
Denbigh Town 1-2 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Airbus UK (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Colwyn Bay

DDWLWDLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Caernarfon Town
Wales Premier League
0-1 0-3 11 L
07/08 Ammanford AFC
Wales Premier League
2-0 2-2 57 D
31/07 Trefelin BGC
Wales Premier League
2-0 2-0 54 W
14/07 Marine
UK Friendlies
0-2 0-2 L
11/07 Altrincham
UK Friendlies
1-1 2-2 50 D
06/07 Rhyl
UK Friendlies
2-1 3-2 100 W
03/07 Denbigh Town
UK Friendlies
0-2 1-2 30 L
27/06 Bala Town
UK Friendlies
2-0 4-0 50 W
25/04 Penybont
Wales Premier League
0-0 0-0 50 D
18/04 Connah's Quay
Wales Premier League
1-1 1-1 98 D

Airbus UK

WLWWWWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Ammanford AFC
Wales Premier League
1-0 2-0 51 W
07/08 Cardiff MU
Wales Premier League
0-1 0-2 33 L
01/08 Haverfordwest County
Wales Premier League
0-0 1-0 22 W
17/07 Denbigh Town
UK Friendlies
1-0 2-0 71 W
30/06 Mold Alexandra
UK Friendlies
2-2 4-3 60 W
18/04 Llandudno
Wales Championship North
1-0 3-1 15 W
03/04 Holywell Town
Wales Championship North
1-0 3-0 W
28/03 Guilsfield
Wales Championship North
0-0 3-0 51 W
20/03 Denbigh Town
Wales Championship North
0-2 2-3 84 L
13/03 Mold Alexandra
Wales Championship North
3-0 8-0 41 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colwyn Bay vs Airbus UK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Colwyn Bay win (59%). Probabilities: Colwyn Bay 59%, draw 23%, Airbus UK 18%.

How many goals are expected in Colwyn Bay vs Airbus UK?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Colwyn Bay 1.88 · Airbus UK 0.95), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Colwyn Bay vs Airbus UK?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.