Football · Wales Premier League · 21/08, 20:45
Prediction: Haverfordwest County vs Cambrian United
Team pages: Haverfordwest County · Cambrian United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Haverfordwest County1.56
Cambrian United1.08
1X2
Haverfordwest County
Draw
Cambrian United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Haverfordwest County
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Cambrian United
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Haverfordwest County
3–1–2
Cambrian United
(6 last)
- Haverfordwest County4-1Cambrian United
- Cambrian United1-2Haverfordwest County
- Haverfordwest County2-2Cambrian United
- Cambrian United2-1Haverfordwest County
- Cambrian United3-0Haverfordwest County
- Haverfordwest County1-0Cambrian United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Haverfordwest County 1489 · Cambrian United 1539
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Cambrian United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 28% | 25% |
| Market | 48% | 26% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cambrian United (rating 1489 vs 1539).
- H2H favours Haverfordwest County: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Haverfordwest County | Cambrian United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.4 | 3.4 / 7.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Haverfordwest County 3–1–2 Cambrian United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/20 Wales Championship South | Haverfordwest County | 4-1 | Cambrian United |
| 21/09/19 Wales Championship South | Cambrian United | 1-2 | Haverfordwest County |
| 12/01/19 Wales League Division 1 | Haverfordwest County | 2-2 | Cambrian United |
| 22/09/18 Wales League Division 1 | Cambrian United | 2-1 | Haverfordwest County |
| 10/02/18 Wales League Division 1 | Cambrian United | 3-0 | Haverfordwest County |
| 28/10/17 Wales League Division 1 | Haverfordwest County | 1-0 | Cambrian United |
Standings · Wales Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llandudno | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Barry Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Penybont | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | T.N.S. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Connah's Quay | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Cardiff MU | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Caernarfon Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Briton Ferry | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Colwyn Bay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Ammanford AFC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 13 | Flint Town Utd | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 | Holywell Town | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 | Trefelin BGC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Haverfordwest County | Cambrian United |
|---|---|---|
| Barry Town | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Flint Town Utd | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Haverfordwest County (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Haverfordwest County
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Llanelli Town UK Friendlies |
6-0 | 8-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Gloucester UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Hamilton UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | Llanelli Town Wales Premier League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Cambrian United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 07/08 | Briton Ferry Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 31/07 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 10/07 | Merthyr Town UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 26/06 | Newport City FC UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Llantwit Major Wales Championship South |
2-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 03/04 | Baglan Dragons Wales Championship South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 27/03 | Cwmbran Celtic Wales Championship South |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 24/03 | Ammanford AFC Wales Championship South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 21/03 | Aberystwyth Wales Championship South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Haverfordwest County vs Cambrian United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Haverfordwest County win (48%). Probabilities: Haverfordwest County 48%, draw 26%, Cambrian United 26%.
How many goals are expected in Haverfordwest County vs Cambrian United?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Haverfordwest County 1.56 · Cambrian United 1.08), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Haverfordwest County vs Cambrian United?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.