Prediction: Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town
Team pages: Colwyn Bay · Barry Town
- Colwyn Bay3-1Barry Town
- Barry Town0-1Colwyn Bay
- Colwyn Bay1-4Barry Town
- Barry Town1-1Colwyn Bay
- Colwyn Bay1-0Barry Town
- Barry Town1-1Colwyn Bay
| Colwyn Bay | Draw | Barry Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 27% | 29% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Colwyn Bay: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colwyn Bay | Barry Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 2.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.6 | 2.4 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colwyn Bay 3–2–1 Barry Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Wales Premier League | Colwyn Bay | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Barry Town |
| 07/02/26 Wales Premier League | Barry Town | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Colwyn Bay |
| 01/11/25 Wales Premier League | Colwyn Bay | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Barry Town |
| 16/08/25 Wales Premier League | Barry Town | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Colwyn Bay |
| 21/04/24 Wales Premier League | Colwyn Bay | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Barry Town |
| 09/03/24 Wales Premier League | Barry Town | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Colwyn Bay |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T.N.S. | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 25 |
| 2 | Barry Town | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Penybont | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Connah's Quay | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 7 | 19 |
| 5 | Caernarfon Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Llandudno | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Colwyn Bay | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 16 |
| 8 | Cambrian United | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 9 | Cardiff MU | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Airbus UK | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 7 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 7 |
| 13 | Ammanford AFC | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 3 |
| 14 | Flint Town Utd | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 2 |
| 15 | Trefelin BGC | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 2 |
| 16 | Holywell Town | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Colwyn Bay | Barry Town |
|---|---|---|
| Holywell Town | 5-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Llandudno | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| T.N.S. | 1-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Airbus UK | 1-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Ammanford AFC | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Barry Town (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colwyn Bay
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Holywell Town Wales Premier League |
5-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 12/09 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 31/08 | Llandudno Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 21/08 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | Ammanford AFC Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 31/07 | Trefelin BGC Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
Barry Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Ammanford AFC Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | Llandudno Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 05/09 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Briton Ferry Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 28/08 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 21/08 | Holywell Town Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 07/08 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 31/07 | Cambrian United Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Colwyn Bay win (44%). Probabilities: Colwyn Bay 44%, draw 27%, Barry Town 30%.
How many goals are expected in Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Colwyn Bay 1.57 · Barry Town 1.26), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

