Football · Wales Premier League · 18/09, 20:45

Prediction: Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town

Team pages: Colwyn Bay · Barry Town

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Colwyn Bay1.57
Barry Town1.26
1X2
44% 27% 30%
Colwyn Bay Draw Barry Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Colwyn Bay 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWDLWLWLWW
Barry Town 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
DWWWWWWLWD
Head-to-head
Colwyn Bay 3–2–1 Barry Town (6 last)
  • Colwyn Bay3-1Barry Town
  • Barry Town0-1Colwyn Bay
  • Colwyn Bay1-4Barry Town
  • Barry Town1-1Colwyn Bay
  • Colwyn Bay1-0Barry Town
  • Barry Town1-1Colwyn Bay
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colwyn Bay 1529 · Barry Town 1556
Colwyn BayDrawBarry Town
Our model43%27%29%
Market44%26%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Colwyn Bay: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Colwyn BayBarry Town
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.22.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.60.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/10/40%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.62.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 04.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Colwyn Bay 321 Barry Town

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/03/26
Wales Premier League
Colwyn Bay3-1
HT 1-0
Barry Town
07/02/26
Wales Premier League
Barry Town0-1
HT 0-0
Colwyn Bay
01/11/25
Wales Premier League
Colwyn Bay1-4
HT 1-2
Barry Town
16/08/25
Wales Premier League
Barry Town1-1
HT 1-1
Colwyn Bay
21/04/24
Wales Premier League
Colwyn Bay1-0
HT 0-0
Barry Town
09/03/24
Wales Premier League
Barry Town1-1
HT 0-0
Colwyn Bay

Standings · Wales Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 T.N.S. 9810 24325
2 Barry Town 9711 231122
3 Penybont 9630 15721
4 Connah's Quay 9612 22719
5 Caernarfon Town 9612 241019
6 Llandudno 9513 171216
7 Colwyn Bay 9513 151216
8 Cambrian United 9432 161115
9 Cardiff MU 8422 191014
10 Airbus UK 9405 131412
11 Haverfordwest County 8215 6147
12 Briton Ferry 9216 8187
13 Ammanford AFC 9036 6233
14 Flint Town Utd 9027 7202
15 Trefelin BGC 9027 3232
16 Holywell Town 9018 11341

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentColwyn BayBarry Town
Holywell Town 5-0 W 3-1 W
Llandudno 2-0 W 4-1 W
T.N.S. 1-5 L 0-1 L
Airbus UK 1-0 W 4-2 W
Ammanford AFC 2-2 D 2-2 D
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Barry Town (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Colwyn Bay

DWDLWLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/09 Holywell Town
Wales Premier League
5-0 5-0 50 W
12/09 Connah's Quay
Wales Premier League
0-1 2-1 47 W
05/09 Penybont
Wales Premier League
0-1 0-1 65 L
31/08 Llandudno
Wales Premier League
1-0 2-0 33 W
28/08 T.N.S.
Wales Premier League
0-3 1-5 62 L
21/08 Airbus UK
Wales Premier League
1-0 1-0 67 W
15/08 Caernarfon Town
Wales Premier League
0-1 0-3 11 L
07/08 Ammanford AFC
Wales Premier League
2-0 2-2 57 D
31/07 Trefelin BGC
Wales Premier League
2-0 2-0 54 W
25/04 Penybont
Wales Premier League
0-0 0-0 50 D

Barry Town

DWWWWWWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/09 Ammanford AFC
Wales Premier League
1-0 2-2 103 D
11/09 Llandudno
Wales Premier League
2-0 4-1 69 W
05/09 T.N.S.
Wales Premier League
0-0 0-1 34 L
31/08 Briton Ferry
Wales Premier League
2-0 4-1 34 W
28/08 Airbus UK
Wales Premier League
1-0 4-2 56 W
21/08 Holywell Town
Wales Premier League
1-1 3-1 75 W
15/08 Cardiff MU
Wales Premier League
0-0 1-0 71 W
07/08 Flint Town Utd
Wales Premier League
1-2 3-2 36 W
31/07 Cambrian United
Wales Premier League
0-0 2-1 34 W
26/04 Haverfordwest County
Wales Premier League
1-0 1-1 55 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Colwyn Bay win (44%). Probabilities: Colwyn Bay 44%, draw 27%, Barry Town 30%.

How many goals are expected in Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Colwyn Bay 1.57 · Barry Town 1.26), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.