Prediction: Holywell Town vs Briton Ferry
Team pages: Holywell Town · Briton Ferry
| Holywell Town | Draw | Briton Ferry | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 23% | 57% |
| Market | 21% | 22% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Briton Ferry (rating 1383 vs 1444).
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Holywell Town | Briton Ferry | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 3.5 | 0.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 2.1 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/30/70% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 2.3 | 1.2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T.N.S. | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 28 |
| 2 | Penybont | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Caernarfon Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 11 | 22 |
| 4 | Connah's Quay | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 7 | 22 |
| 5 | Barry Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 22 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | Llandudno | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 16 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 20 | 15 |
| 10 | Cardiff MU | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 14 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 10 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 8 |
| 13 | Trefelin BGC | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 3 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 3 |
| 15 | Flint Town Utd | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 2 |
| 16 | Holywell Town | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Holywell Town | Briton Ferry |
|---|---|---|
| Haverfordwest County | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Cambrian United | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Trefelin BGC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Airbus UK | 2-6 L | 0-2 L |
| Barry Town | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Cardiff MU | 1-6 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Briton Ferry (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Holywell Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/09 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
0-5 | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 11/09 | Cambrian United Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 04/09 | Trefelin BGC Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 31/08 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
1-3 | 2-6 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 28/08 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
1-3 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 21/08 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Llandudno Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 07/08 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 1-6 | 2 | 8 | L |
Briton Ferry
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Trefelin BGC Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 15/09 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 11/09 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 21/08 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 14/08 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 07/08 | Cambrian United Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 31/07 | Ammanford AFC Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Holywell Town vs Briton Ferry?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Briton Ferry win (57%). Probabilities: Holywell Town 20%, draw 22%, Briton Ferry 57%.
How many goals are expected in Holywell Town vs Briton Ferry?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Holywell Town 1.21 · Briton Ferry 2.12), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Holywell Town vs Briton Ferry?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.