Football · Wales Premier League · 26/09, 15:30

Prediction: Flint Town Utd vs Ammanford AFC

Team pages: Flint Town Utd · Ammanford AFC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.18Total
Flint Town Utd2.04
Ammanford AFC1.14
1X2
57% 23% 20%
Flint Town Utd Draw Ammanford AFC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Flint Town Utd 0-2-8 (W-D-L)
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Ammanford AFC 0-3-7 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Flint Town Utd 1416 · Ammanford AFC 1410
Flint Town UtdDrawAmmanford AFC
Our model57%23%20%
Market57%23%20%
Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Flint Town UtdAmmanford AFC
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 2.40.7 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 1.20.2 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/10/60%10/10/80%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 3.11.1 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.33.4 / 0.5

Standings · Wales Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 T.N.S. 10910 26428
2 Penybont 10730 20824
3 Caernarfon Town 10712 331122
4 Connah's Quay 10712 23722
5 Barry Town 10712 251622
6 Colwyn Bay 10613 201419
7 Llandudno 10514 181416
8 Airbus UK 10505 171515
9 Cambrian United 10433 172015
10 Cardiff MU 9423 191114
11 Haverfordwest County 9315 71410
12 Briton Ferry 10226 9198
13 Trefelin BGC 10037 4243
14 Ammanford AFC 10037 7283
15 Flint Town Utd 10028 8242
16 Holywell Town 10019 11351

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFlint Town UtdAmmanford AFC
Airbus UK 1-4 L 0-2 L
Cardiff MU 1-1 D 0-5 L
Caernarfon Town 0-3 L 0-5 L
Connah's Quay 1-2 L 0-2 L
Penybont 1-1 D 1-5 L
Briton Ferry 0-1 L 1-2 L
Barry Town 2-3 L 2-2 D
Llandudno 2-3 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 6 L 0 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Flint Town Utd (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Flint Town Utd

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 Airbus UK
Wales Premier League
0-3 1-4 14 L
15/09 T.N.S.
Wales Premier League
0-3 0-5 01 L
11/09 Cardiff MU
Wales Premier League
1-0 1-1 36 D
04/09 Caernarfon Town
Wales Premier League
0-1 0-3 54 L
31/08 Connah's Quay
Wales Premier League
0-1 1-2 L
28/08 Penybont
Wales Premier League
0-1 1-1 37 D
21/08 Briton Ferry
Wales Premier League
0-1 0-1 72 L
14/08 Cambrian United
Wales Premier League
0-0 0-1 31 L
07/08 Barry Town
Wales Premier League
2-1 2-3 46 L
31/07 Llandudno
Wales Premier League
2-1 2-3 27 L

Ammanford AFC

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 Penybont
Wales Premier League
0-4 1-5 21 L
15/09 Barry Town
Wales Premier League
0-1 2-2 13 D
11/09 Caernarfon Town
Wales Premier League
0-2 0-5 04 L
04/09 Llandudno
Wales Premier League
0-1 0-2 14 L
31/08 Cardiff MU
Wales Premier League
0-2 0-5 23 L
28/08 Trefelin BGC
Wales Premier League
1-0 1-1 29 D
22/08 Connah's Quay
Wales Premier League
0-1 0-2 45 L
14/08 Airbus UK
Wales Premier League
0-1 0-2 51 L
07/08 Colwyn Bay
Wales Premier League
0-2 2-2 37 D
31/07 Briton Ferry
Wales Premier League
1-1 1-2 42 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Flint Town Utd vs Ammanford AFC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Flint Town Utd win (57%). Probabilities: Flint Town Utd 57%, draw 23%, Ammanford AFC 20%.

How many goals are expected in Flint Town Utd vs Ammanford AFC?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Flint Town Utd 2.04 · Ammanford AFC 1.14), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Flint Town Utd vs Ammanford AFC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.