Football · Wales Premier League · 26/09, 15:30

Prediction: Cambrian United vs Llandudno

Team pages: Cambrian United · Llandudno

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.27Total

Cambrian United1.8

Llandudno1.47

1X2

45% 24% 31%

Cambrian United Draw Llandudno

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Cambrian United 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Llandudno 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Cambrian United 1–0 Llandudno (1 last)

Cambrian United3-2Llandudno

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cambrian United 1514 · Llandudno 1512

	Cambrian United	Draw	Llandudno
Our model	45%	25%	31%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cambrian United	Llandudno
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2	1.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.9	1.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.4	5.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.75

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:11 +5’	2.00	3.75	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cambrian United 1–0–0 Llandudno

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/11/24 Wales Cup	Cambrian United	3-2 HT 1-2	Llandudno

Standings · Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	T.N.S.	10	9	1	0	26	4	28
2	Penybont	10	7	3	0	20	8	24
3	Caernarfon Town	10	7	1	2	33	11	22
4	Connah's Quay	10	7	1	2	23	7	22
5	Barry Town	10	7	1	2	25	16	22
6	Colwyn Bay	10	6	1	3	20	14	19
7	Llandudno	10	5	1	4	18	14	16
8	Airbus UK	10	5	0	5	17	15	15
9	Cambrian United	10	4	3	3	17	20	15
10	Cardiff MU	9	4	2	3	19	11	14
11	Haverfordwest County	9	3	1	5	7	14	10
12	Briton Ferry	10	2	2	6	9	19	8
13	Trefelin BGC	10	0	3	7	4	24	3
14	Ammanford AFC	10	0	3	7	7	28	3
15	Flint Town Utd	10	0	2	8	8	24	2
16	Holywell Town	10	0	1	9	11	35	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cambrian United	Llandudno
Caernarfon Town	1-9 L	1-1 D
Trefelin BGC	4-0 W	4-0 W
Holywell Town	2-1 W	3-1 W
Penybont	2-2 D	1-2 L
Haverfordwest County	3-0 W	2-0 W
Flint Town Utd	1-0 W	3-2 W
Barry Town	1-2 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Cambrian United (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cambrian United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League	1-3	1-9	6	6	L
15/09	Trefelin BGC Wales Premier League	1-0	4-0	9	2	W
11/09	Holywell Town Wales Premier League	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
04/09	Cardiff MU Wales Premier League	0-1	2-2	7	3	D
31/08	Penybont Wales Premier League	1-1	2-2	2	9	D
28/08	Connah's Quay Wales Premier League	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
21/08	Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League	0-0	3-0	3	2	W
14/08	Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
07/08	Briton Ferry Wales Premier League	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
31/07	Barry Town Wales Premier League	0-0	1-2	1	4	L

Llandudno

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	T.N.S. Wales Premier League	1-0	1-2	2	7	L
15/09	Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
11/09	Barry Town Wales Premier League	0-2	1-4	4	9	L
04/09	Ammanford AFC Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
31/08	Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
28/08	Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League	0-0	2-0	4	8	W
21/08	Penybont Wales Premier League	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
14/08	Holywell Town Wales Premier League	1-1	3-1	12	6	W
07/08	Trefelin BGC Wales Premier League	4-0	4-0	6	4	W
31/07	Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League	1-2	3-2	5	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cambrian United vs Llandudno?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cambrian United win (45%). Probabilities: Cambrian United 45%, draw 24%, Llandudno 31%.

How many goals are expected in Cambrian United vs Llandudno?

The model expects 3.27 goals (Cambrian United 1.8 · Llandudno 1.47), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cambrian United vs Llandudno?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.