Prediction: Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay
Team pages: Briton Ferry · Colwyn Bay
- Briton Ferry0-2Colwyn Bay
- Colwyn Bay2-2Briton Ferry
| Briton Ferry | Draw | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 25% | 54% |
| Market | 21% | 24% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colwyn Bay (rating 1424 vs 1559).
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Briton Ferry | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.9 | 1.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 4.8 | 2.5 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.4 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Briton Ferry 0–1–1 Colwyn Bay
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/25 Wales Premier League | Briton Ferry | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Colwyn Bay |
| 30/08/25 Wales Premier League | Colwyn Bay | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Briton Ferry |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T.N.S. | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 5 | 31 |
| 2 | Penybont | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Connah's Quay | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 13 | 23 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 22 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 20 | 22 |
| 7 | Cambrian United | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 23 | 18 |
| 8 | Llandudno | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 16 |
| 9 | Cardiff MU | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 15 |
| 10 | Airbus UK | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 15 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 10 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 9 |
| 13 | Flint Town Utd | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 5 |
| 14 | Trefelin BGC | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 27 | 3 |
| 15 | Ammanford AFC | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell Town | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Briton Ferry | Colwyn Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Holywell Town | 1-1 D | 5-0 W |
| Penybont | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Haverfordwest County | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Airbus UK | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Barry Town | 1-4 L | 5-2 W |
| T.N.S. | 0-1 L | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Colwyn Bay (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Briton Ferry
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Holywell Town Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 18/09 | Trefelin BGC Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 15/09 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 11/09 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 21/08 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 14/08 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 07/08 | Cambrian United Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
Colwyn Bay
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 18/09 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
1-2 | 5-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 15/09 | Holywell Town Wales Premier League |
5-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 12/09 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 31/08 | Llandudno Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 21/08 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | Ammanford AFC Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Colwyn Bay win (54%). Probabilities: Briton Ferry 21%, draw 25%, Colwyn Bay 54%.
How many goals are expected in Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Briton Ferry 1.04 · Colwyn Bay 1.8), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.