Football · Wales Premier League · 03/10, 15:30

Prediction: Ammanford AFC vs Holywell Town

Team pages: Ammanford AFC · Holywell Town

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
Ammanford AFC1.62
Holywell Town1.73
1X2
35% 25% 40%
Ammanford AFC Draw Holywell Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Ammanford AFC 0-3-7 (W-D-L)
DLLDLLLDLL
Holywell Town 0-2-8 (W-D-L)
LLLLLDLLLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ammanford AFC 1401 · Holywell Town 1384
Ammanford AFCDrawHolywell Town
Our model35%25%40%
Market35%25%40%
Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ammanford AFCHolywell Town
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 2.91.1 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 1.40.6 / 1.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/10/80%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 2.21.3 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.53.4 / 0.2

Standings · Wales Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 T.N.S. 111010 29531
2 Penybont 11830 22927
3 Connah's Quay 11812 27825
4 Caernarfon Town 11722 351323
5 Colwyn Bay 11713 211422
6 Barry Town 11713 262022
7 Cambrian United 11533 212318
8 Llandudno 11515 211816
9 Cardiff MU 10433 211315
10 Airbus UK 11506 181715
11 Haverfordwest County 10316 71510
12 Briton Ferry 11236 10209
13 Flint Town Utd 11128 11245
14 Trefelin BGC 11038 5273
15 Ammanford AFC 11038 7313
16 Holywell Town 11029 12362

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAmmanford AFCHolywell Town
Barry Town 2-2 D 1-3 L
Caernarfon Town 0-5 L 3-5 L
Llandudno 0-2 L 1-3 L
Trefelin BGC 1-1 D 1-1 D
Connah's Quay 0-2 L 1-3 L
Airbus UK 0-2 L 2-6 L
Colwyn Bay 2-2 D 0-5 L
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 4 L 0 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Ammanford AFC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ammanford AFC

DLLDLLLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Flint Town Utd
Wales Premier League
0-0 0-3 20 L
18/09 Penybont
Wales Premier League
0-4 1-5 21 L
15/09 Barry Town
Wales Premier League
0-1 2-2 13 D
11/09 Caernarfon Town
Wales Premier League
0-2 0-5 04 L
04/09 Llandudno
Wales Premier League
0-1 0-2 14 L
31/08 Cardiff MU
Wales Premier League
0-2 0-5 23 L
28/08 Trefelin BGC
Wales Premier League
1-0 1-1 29 D
22/08 Connah's Quay
Wales Premier League
0-1 0-2 45 L
14/08 Airbus UK
Wales Premier League
0-1 0-2 51 L
07/08 Colwyn Bay
Wales Premier League
0-2 2-2 37 D

Holywell Town

LLLLLDLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Briton Ferry
Wales Premier League
1-0 1-1 57 D
18/09 Haverfordwest County
Wales Premier League
0-1 0-1 34 L
15/09 Colwyn Bay
Wales Premier League
0-5 0-5 10 L
11/09 Cambrian United
Wales Premier League
0-1 1-2 25 L
04/09 Trefelin BGC
Wales Premier League
0-0 1-1 61 D
31/08 Airbus UK
Wales Premier League
1-3 2-6 00 L
28/08 Caernarfon Town
Wales Premier League
1-3 3-5 –– L
21/08 Barry Town
Wales Premier League
1-1 1-3 25 L
14/08 Llandudno
Wales Premier League
1-1 1-3 26 L
07/08 Connah's Quay
Wales Premier League
1-3 1-3 35 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ammanford AFC vs Holywell Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Holywell Town win (40%). Probabilities: Ammanford AFC 35%, draw 25%, Holywell Town 40%.

How many goals are expected in Ammanford AFC vs Holywell Town?

The model expects 3.36 goals (Ammanford AFC 1.62 · Holywell Town 1.73), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ammanford AFC vs Holywell Town?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.