Football · Wales Premier League · 23/10, 20:45

Prediction: Cambrian United vs Airbus UK

Team pages: Cambrian United · Airbus UK

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.99Total
Cambrian United1.74
Airbus UK2.25
1X2
29% 22% 49%
Cambrian United Draw Airbus UK
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-2 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Cambrian United 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLDDWWLWLL
Airbus UK 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LLWWLLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cambrian United 1511 · Airbus UK 1507
Cambrian UnitedDrawAirbus UK
Our model29%22%49%
Market29%23%48%
Estimated total (ours) 3.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Cambrian UnitedAirbus UK
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 32.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 1.31.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.61.9 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.73.7 / 0.2

Standings · Wales Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 T.N.S. 131210 44637
2 Connah's Quay 131012 30931
3 Penybont 13931 251130
4 Caernarfon Town 13823 371526
5 Colwyn Bay 13814 221525
6 Barry Town 13814 282325
7 Cardiff MU 13634 241621
8 Airbus UK 13706 251821
9 Cambrian United 13535 213318
10 Llandudno 13517 222316
11 Briton Ferry 13337 122212
12 Haverfordwest County 13319 81910
13 Ammanford AFC 13238 10329
14 Flint Town Utd 13229 12258
15 Trefelin BGC 13139 8316
16 Holywell Town 130211 14442

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCambrian UnitedAirbus UK
T.N.S. 0-9 L 0-2 L
Llandudno 4-3 W 4-1 W
Trefelin BGC 4-0 W 3-0 W
Holywell Town 2-1 W 6-2 W
Penybont 2-2 D 1-2 L
Connah's Quay 0-3 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Airbus UK (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cambrian United

WLDDWWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/10 Ammanford AFC
Wales Premier League
0-1 0-1 88 L
03/10 T.N.S.
Wales Premier League
0-5 0-9 02 L
26/09 Llandudno
Wales Premier League
3-0 4-3 24 W
18/09 Caernarfon Town
Wales Premier League
1-3 1-9 66 L
15/09 Trefelin BGC
Wales Premier League
1-0 4-0 92 W
11/09 Holywell Town
Wales Premier League
1-0 2-1 65 W
04/09 Cardiff MU
Wales Premier League
0-1 2-2 73 D
31/08 Penybont
Wales Premier League
1-1 2-2 29 D
28/08 Connah's Quay
Wales Premier League
0-2 0-3 35 L
21/08 Haverfordwest County
Wales Premier League
0-0 3-0 32 W

Airbus UK

LLWWLLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/10 Llandudno
Wales Premier League
3-1 4-1 26 W
03/10 Trefelin BGC
Wales Premier League
2-0 3-0 53 W
26/09 Penybont
Wales Premier League
1-0 1-2 34 L
18/09 Flint Town Utd
Wales Premier League
3-0 4-1 64 W
15/09 Connah's Quay
Wales Premier League
0-0 0-3 04 L
11/09 T.N.S.
Wales Premier League
0-2 0-2 42 L
04/09 Briton Ferry
Wales Premier League
1-0 2-0 63 W
31/08 Holywell Town
Wales Premier League
3-1 6-2 00 W
28/08 Barry Town
Wales Premier League
0-1 2-4 46 L
21/08 Colwyn Bay
Wales Premier League
0-1 0-1 37 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cambrian United vs Airbus UK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Airbus UK win (49%). Probabilities: Cambrian United 29%, draw 22%, Airbus UK 49%.

How many goals are expected in Cambrian United vs Airbus UK?

The model expects 3.99 goals (Cambrian United 1.74 · Airbus UK 2.25), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cambrian United vs Airbus UK?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.