Prediction: T.N.S. vs Ammanford AFC
Team pages: T.N.S. · Ammanford AFC
| T.N.S. | Draw | Ammanford AFC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 12% |
| Market | 88% | 8% | 4% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours T.N.S. (rating 1642 vs 1472).
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| T.N.S. | Ammanford AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.1 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.9 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.3 / 8.5 | 0.8 / 1.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.7 |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T.N.S. | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 6 | 37 |
| 2 | Connah's Quay | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 31 |
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 26 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 25 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 23 | 25 |
| 7 | Cardiff MU | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 33 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 23 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest County | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 10 |
| 13 | Ammanford AFC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 9 |
| 14 | Flint Town Utd | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 25 | 8 |
| 15 | Trefelin BGC | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell Town | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 44 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | T.N.S. | Ammanford AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Holywell Town | 6-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Cambrian United | 9-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Trefelin BGC | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Llandudno | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Flint Town Utd | 5-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Barry Town | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Caernarfon Town | 3-2 W | 0-5 L |
| Cardiff MU | 5-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 8 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: T.N.S. (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
T.N.S.
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Holywell Town Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 6-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Cambrian United Wales Premier League |
5-0 | 9-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/09 | Trefelin BGC Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Llandudno Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 15/09 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 18 | 1 | W |
| 11/09 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 28/08 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 21/08 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
Ammanford AFC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Cambrian United Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 03/10 | Holywell Town Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 26/09 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 18/09 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-4 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 15/09 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | Llandudno Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | Trefelin BGC Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 22/08 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in T.N.S. vs Ammanford AFC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a T.N.S. win (82%). Probabilities: T.N.S. 82%, draw 11%, Ammanford AFC 8%.
How many goals are expected in T.N.S. vs Ammanford AFC?
The model expects 4.82 goals (T.N.S. 3.41 · Ammanford AFC 1.41), with a 52% chance of under 5 goals.
Will both teams score in T.N.S. vs Ammanford AFC?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.