Prediction: Holywell Town vs Connah's Quay
Team pages: Holywell Town · Connah's Quay
- Connah's Quay1-0Holywell Town
- Connah's Quay4-0Holywell Town
| Holywell Town | Draw | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 23% | 60% |
| Market | 18% | 21% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Connah's Quay: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Holywell Town | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 4.7 | 1.4 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Holywell Town 0–0–2 Connah's Quay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/22 Wales League Cup | Connah's Quay | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Holywell Town |
| 26/10/21 Wales League Cup | Connah's Quay | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Holywell Town |
Standings · Wales Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff MU | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Colwyn Bay | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Llandudno | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Barry Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Briton Ferry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Airbus UK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Penybont | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | T.N.S. | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Flint Town Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Ammanford AFC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Cambrian United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Connah's Quay | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Trefelin BGC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Holywell Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Holywell Town
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 1-6 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 10/07 | Mold Alexandra UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 08/04 | Newtown Wales Championship North |
5-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Airbus UK Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/03 | Guilsfield Wales Championship North |
2-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 14/03 | Caersws Wales Championship North |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/03 | Llandudno Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 27/02 | Denbigh Town Wales Championship North |
4-0 | 5-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
Connah's Quay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 16/07 | KF Ballkani UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 08/07 | KF Ballkani UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | Queen of South UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 03/04 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 21/03 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 13/03 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 03/03 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Holywell Town vs Connah's Quay?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Connah's Quay win (61%). Probabilities: Holywell Town 18%, draw 22%, Connah's Quay 61%.
How many goals are expected in Holywell Town vs Connah's Quay?
The model expects 3.1 goals (Holywell Town 1.03 · Connah's Quay 2.07), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Holywell Town vs Connah's Quay?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.