Prediction: Holywell Town vs Barry Town
Team pages: Holywell Town · Barry Town
| Holywell Town | Draw | Barry Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 22% | 62% |
| Market | 16% | 21% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barry Town (rating 1467 vs 1562).
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Holywell Town | Barry Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.3 | 1.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.8 | 2.4 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 2.7 / 0 |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llandudno | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Barry Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Penybont | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | T.N.S. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Connah's Quay | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Cardiff MU | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Caernarfon Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Briton Ferry | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Colwyn Bay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Ammanford AFC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 13 | Flint Town Utd | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 | Holywell Town | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 | Trefelin BGC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Holywell Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Llandudno Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 07/08 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 1-6 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 10/07 | Mold Alexandra UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 08/04 | Newtown Wales Championship North |
5-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Airbus UK Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/03 | Guilsfield Wales Championship North |
2-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 14/03 | Caersws Wales Championship North |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Barry Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 07/08 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 31/07 | Cambrian United Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Gloucester UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Trethomas Bluebirds AFC UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 5-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 07/07 | Goytre Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Goytre United Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 03/04 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Holywell Town vs Barry Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Barry Town win (63%). Probabilities: Holywell Town 16%, draw 21%, Barry Town 63%.
How many goals are expected in Holywell Town vs Barry Town?
The model expects 3.04 goals (Holywell Town 0.96 · Barry Town 2.08), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Holywell Town vs Barry Town?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.