Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 29/07, 22:00
Prediction: Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.02Total
Defensa y Justicia1.2
Deportivo Riestra0.82
1X2
Defensa y Justicia
Draw
Deportivo Riestra
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Defensa y Justicia
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Riestra
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Defensa y Justicia
2–3–0
Deportivo Riestra
(5 last)
- Deportivo Riestra0-1Defensa y Justicia
- Defensa y Justicia1-0Deportivo Riestra
- Deportivo Riestra1-1Defensa y Justicia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Defensa y Justicia 1468 · Deportivo Riestra 1435
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Deportivo Riestra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 33% | 24% |
| Market | 43% | 33% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.02 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Defensa y Justicia: 2-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Defensa y Justicia | Deportivo Riestra | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.1 | 0.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.7 | 2.4 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 5.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensa y Justicia 2–3–0 Deportivo Riestra
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Deportivo Riestra | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Defensa y Justicia |
| 12/08/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Defensa y Justicia | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Riestra |
| 09/02/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Deportivo Riestra | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Defensa y Justicia |
| 18/11/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Defensa y Justicia | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Riestra |
| 26/02/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Defensa y Justicia | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Riestra |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Platense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | Union Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | CA Independiente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Lanus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Deportivo Riestra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Estudiantes LP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Newell's | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Defensa y Justicia | Deportivo Riestra |
|---|---|---|
| CA Independiente | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| CA Talleres de Córdoba | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Instituto AC Cordoba | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| San Lorenzo | 5-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Defensa y Justicia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 16/07 | Racing Club Argentina Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/04 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 07/04 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/04 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/03 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/03 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 5-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
Deportivo Riestra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | San Lorenzo Argentina Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 27/05 | Palestino Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 20/05 | Torque Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 06/05 | Gremio Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 30/04 | Torque Copa Sudamericana |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/04 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 20/04 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 15/04 | Gremio Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Defensa y Justicia win (43%). Probabilities: Defensa y Justicia 43%, draw 33%, Deportivo Riestra 24%.
How many goals are expected in Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra?
The model expects 2.02 goals (Defensa y Justicia 1.2 · Deportivo Riestra 0.82), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.