Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 09/08, 22:00
Prediction: Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes LP
Team pages: Deportivo Riestra · Estudiantes LP
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.69Total
Deportivo Riestra0.76
Estudiantes LP0.93
1X2
Deportivo Riestra
Draw
Estudiantes LP
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 50%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Riestra
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Estudiantes LP
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Riestra
0–2
Estudiantes LP
(2 last)
- Estudiantes LP1-0Deportivo Riestra
- Estudiantes LP2-0Deportivo Riestra
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Riestra 1443 · Estudiantes LP 1533
| Deportivo Riestra | Draw | Estudiantes LP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 37% | 37% |
| Market | 27% | 35% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.69 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Estudiantes LP (rating 1443 vs 1533).
- H2H favours Estudiantes LP: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Riestra | Estudiantes LP | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.6 | 2.4 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Riestra 0–0–2 Estudiantes LP
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Estudiantes LP | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Riestra |
| 21/05/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Estudiantes LP | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Riestra |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | CA Independiente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 5 | Deportivo Riestra | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Estudiantes LP | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Lanus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Newell's | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Platense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | Union Santa Fe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 13 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Boca Juniors | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Riestra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/07 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 27/07 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | San Lorenzo Argentina Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 27/05 | Palestino Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 20/05 | Torque Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 06/05 | Gremio Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 30/04 | Torque Copa Sudamericana |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/04 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
Estudiantes LP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Rosario Central Argentina Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 27/05 | Independiente Medellin Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Flamengo Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 07/05 | Cusco FC Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/04 | Flamengo Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes LP?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Estudiantes LP win (37%). Probabilities: Deportivo Riestra 27%, draw 36%, Estudiantes LP 37%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes LP?
The model expects 1.69 goals (Deportivo Riestra 0.76 · Estudiantes LP 0.93), with a 50% chance of over 1.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes LP?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.