Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 09/08, 22:00
Prediction: Rosario Central vs Aldosivi
Team pages: Rosario Central · Aldosivi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
Rosario Central1.57
Aldosivi0.57
1X2
Rosario Central
Draw
Aldosivi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Rosario Central
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Aldosivi
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rosario Central
2–1–3
Aldosivi
(6 last)
- Aldosivi1-1Rosario Central
- Aldosivi2-1Rosario Central
- Aldosivi1-0Rosario Central
- Rosario Central1-2Aldosivi
- Aldosivi0-1Rosario Central
- Aldosivi0-1Rosario Central
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rosario Central 1508 · Aldosivi 1448
| Rosario Central | Draw | Aldosivi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 27% | 12% |
| Market | 62% | 25% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rosario Central (rating 1508 vs 1448).
- H2H favours Aldosivi: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rosario Central | Aldosivi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.6 | 1.5 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.4 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rosario Central 2–1–3 Aldosivi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Aldosivi | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Rosario Central |
| 05/07/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Aldosivi | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Rosario Central |
| 16/04/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Aldosivi | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Rosario Central |
| 03/08/21 Argentina Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Aldosivi |
| 16/04/21 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Aldosivi | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Rosario Central |
| 29/12/20 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Aldosivi | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Rosario Central |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Barracas Central | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Atlético Tucumán | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Independiente Rivadavia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | CA Tigre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Belgrano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Huracan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Gimnasia LP | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Aldosivi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Rosario Central | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Sarmiento | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 | River Plate | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rosario Central | Aldosivi |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Club | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Belgrano | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| River Plate | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Aldosivi (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rosario Central
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 26/07 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Copa Santa Fe |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 24/07 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/05 | Independiente del Valle Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | UCV Copa Libertadores |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 13/05 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Libertad Asuncion Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Aldosivi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 29/07 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | River Plate Argentina Cup |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 04/04 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 31/03 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rosario Central vs Aldosivi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rosario Central win (61%). Probabilities: Rosario Central 61%, draw 26%, Aldosivi 13%.
How many goals are expected in Rosario Central vs Aldosivi?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Rosario Central 1.57 · Aldosivi 0.57), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Rosario Central vs Aldosivi?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.