Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 09/08, 22:00
Prediction: CA Tigre vs River Plate
Team pages: CA Tigre · River Plate
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
CA Tigre1.08
River Plate1.33
1X2
CA Tigre
Draw
River Plate
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CA Tigre
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
River Plate
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Tigre
3–1–2
River Plate
(6 last)
- River Plate1-4CA Tigre
- River Plate3-1CA Tigre
- CA Tigre0-1River Plate
- CA Tigre1-1River Plate
- River Plate1-2CA Tigre
- River Plate2-3CA Tigre
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Tigre 1532 · River Plate 1470
| CA Tigre | Draw | River Plate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 30% | 41% |
| Market | 28% | 32% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Tigre (rating 1532 vs 1470).
- H2H favours CA Tigre: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Tigre | River Plate | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.9 | 2.6 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Tigre 3–1–2 River Plate
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | River Plate | 1-4 HT 0-2 | CA Tigre |
| 03/06/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | River Plate | 3-1 HT 1-1 | CA Tigre |
| 18/02/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 0-1 HT 0-0 | River Plate |
| 28/08/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 1-1 HT 0-1 | River Plate |
| 12/05/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | River Plate | 1-2 HT 0-1 | CA Tigre |
| 07/04/19 Argentina Superliga | River Plate | 2-3 HT 1-1 | CA Tigre |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Barracas Central | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Atlético Tucumán | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Independiente Rivadavia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | CA Tigre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Belgrano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Huracan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Gimnasia LP | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Aldosivi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Rosario Central | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Sarmiento | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 | River Plate | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Tigre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 29/07 | Nacional De Football Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 25/07 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/07 | Nacional De Football Copa Sudamericana |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | Alianza Atletico Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 20/05 | America de Cali Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 07/05 | Macara Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | America de Cali Copa Sudamericana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
River Plate
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | Aldosivi Argentina Cup |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 03/07 | Flamengo America Friendlies |
2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 28/05 | Blooming Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 21/05 | Bragantino Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 14/05 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Tigre vs River Plate?
According to our model, the most likely result is an River Plate win (41%). Probabilities: CA Tigre 28%, draw 31%, River Plate 41%.
How many goals are expected in CA Tigre vs River Plate?
The model expects 2.4 goals (CA Tigre 1.08 · River Plate 1.33), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Tigre vs River Plate?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.