Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 09/08, 22:00

Prediction: Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

Team pages: Independiente Rivadavia · Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Independiente Rivadavia1.57

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto0.69

1X2

58% 27% 15%

Independiente Rivadavia Draw Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Independiente Rivadavia 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDDLWWWDW

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDDLLLLWLD

Head-to-head

Independiente Rivadavia 1–1–2 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto (4 last)

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto0-1Independiente Rivadavia
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto4-1Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente Rivadavia0-0Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto3-1Independiente Rivadavia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Independiente Rivadavia 1589 · Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1424

	Independiente Rivadavia	Draw	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Our model	57%	27%	15%
Market	58%	27%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Independiente Rivadavia (rating 1589 vs 1424).
H2H favours Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Independiente Rivadavia	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1	0.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.5	0.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.2	2.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.50

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:32 +10’	1.61	3.50	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Rivadavia 1–1–2 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	0-1 HT 0-0	Independiente Rivadavia
18/09/22 Argentina Nacional B	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	4-1 HT 1-0	Independiente Rivadavia
22/02/20 Argentina Nacional B	Independiente Rivadavia	0-0 HT 0-0	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
01/09/19 Argentina Nacional B	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	3-1 HT 0-1	Independiente Rivadavia

Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Argentinos Jrs	3	3	0	0	7	2	9
2	Barracas Central	2	2	0	0	2	0	6
3	Atlético Tucumán	2	1	1	0	2	0	4
4	Independiente Rivadavia	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
5	Banfield	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
6	Racing Club	3	1	1	1	3	4	4
7	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	3	1	1	1	1	3	4
8	CA Tigre	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
9	Belgrano	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
9	Huracan	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
9	Gimnasia LP	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
12	Aldosivi	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
12	Rosario Central	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
14	Sarmiento	2	0	0	2	4	6	0
15	River Plate	2	0	0	2	0	2	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Independiente Rivadavia	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
CA Tigre	1-0 W	1-0 W
Aldosivi	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Independiente Rivadavia

WWDDLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional	2-0	2-1	3	1	W
26/07	Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
12/07	CA Tigre Argentina Cup	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
28/05	Bolivar Copa Libertadores	1-0	3-1	2	6	W
22/05	Deportivo La Guaira Copa Libertadores	2-1	4-2	3	5	W
10/05	Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
07/05	Fluminense Copa Libertadores	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
03/05	Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional	1-1	1-1	7	3	D
01/05	Deportivo La Guaira Copa Libertadores	3-1	4-1	4	1	W
26/04	Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional	1-1	5-1	11	9	W

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

LDDLLLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
29/07	Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
25/07	CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
05/05	Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
25/04	Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	1-2	0	7	L
18/04	Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
12/04	Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional	1-2	1-2	6	4	L
07/04	San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Cup	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
04/04	Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	10	7	D
22/03	River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-2	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente Rivadavia win (58%). Probabilities: Independiente Rivadavia 58%, draw 27%, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 15%.

How many goals are expected in Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Independiente Rivadavia 1.57 · Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0.69), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.